sharpside
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Traders/Rank #337

elPolloLoco

0xa2f…2d22
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$593kvol $120M
PnL 30d−$32.4kgains $51.7k · losses $7,046
PnL 7d−$6,219win rate 7d 65.2%
Win rate62.7%adj 62.2% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$157kcash n/a
Positions762 / 4,144open / all-time
Max drawdown−38.0%of equity peak
Account age3.2ylast trade 54m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$544kbelow peak −$171kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82
Adjusted win rateraw 62.7% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes276k50.9¢16.5¢$45.5k−$94.9k$0
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?No78.7k51¢51.5¢$40.5k+$395$0
Buccaneers vs. CowboysCowboys20.0k81¢80.5¢$16.1k−$100$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?No15.4k94¢92¢$14.1k−$315+$75
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No16.3k84.2¢79.5¢$12.9k−$772−$122
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes9,87992.2¢99.6¢$9,839+$731$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?No8,96089.9¢77.5¢$6,944−$1,113+$1,232
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes82.0k6¢6.5¢$5,330+$410$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No3,02295.3¢99.3¢$3,000+$119$0
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No84787.2¢95.3¢$806+$68$0
Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?No39185¢86.5¢$338+$5.86$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?No24891¢97.7¢$242+$16$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?No23877¢89.5¢$213+$30−$5.72
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?No20094.9¢98.4¢$197+$7.00$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢1.4¢$117+$117$0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Yes25848¢42.5¢$109−$14+$711
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?Yes13488.8¢78¢$105−$14+$446
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?No6889¢96.3¢$65+$4.96+$32
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.7¢$57+$57$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.5¢$48+$48$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.5¢$44+$44$0
Will the New York Rangers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?No8058¢53¢$42−$4.00$0
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?No8835¢41¢$36+$5.30$0
Will Shea Langeliers have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?No2595¢100¢$25+$1.25$0
Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No2495.9¢100¢$24+$0.99$0
Will Oneil Cruz lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?No2096¢100¢$20+$0.80−$0.02
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.2¢$13+$13$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.2¢$11+$11$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.2¢$11+$11$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.2¢$11+$11$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.2¢$11+$11$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.2¢$11+$11$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.2¢$11+$11$0
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?No1563.2¢65.2¢$9.85+$0.30$0
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No975¢100¢$9.47+$2.37$0
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes567¢100¢$5.35+$1.77$0
Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?No590¢100¢$5.00+$0.50−$0.01
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No552¢100¢$5.00+$2.40$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,7000¢0.1¢$4.35+$4.35$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No498¢100¢$4.03+$0.08+$995
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.1¢$3.75+$3.75$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.1¢$3.75+$3.75$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5000¢0.1¢$3.75+$3.75$0
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?No292.4¢100¢$2.24+$0.17$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 3?Yes212.3¢100¢$2.20+$1.93−$20
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Avalanche273¢100¢$2.19+$0.59$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2600 before July 14?No294¢100¢$2.16+$0.13$0
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August?No297.6¢100¢$2.12+$0.05+$1,158
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No297.8¢100¢$2.04+$0.04$0
Will Ethereum dip to $4100 August 11–17?No284¢100¢$2.00+$0.32$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 22-28?No294.7¢100¢$1.97+$0.10−$33
Will XRP reach $3.4 in July?Yes289¢100¢$1.93+$0.21$0
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in July?Yes288.3¢100¢$1.91+$0.22+$7.82
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?Yes246¢100¢$1.85+$1.00$0
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports296.1¢100¢$1.56+$0.06+$50
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 October 13-19?No191.8¢100¢$1.46+$0.12+$12
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No196.9¢100¢$1.46+$0.05−$45
Will Bitcoin reach $119K September 8–14?No193¢100¢$1.43+$0.10+$3.93
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend172.9¢100¢$1.42+$0.38+$528
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?No191.6¢100¢$1.36+$0.11+$16
Will another player lead the NBA in Assists?No197.4¢100¢$1.33+$0.03+$0.57
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes16.6¢100¢$1.32+$1.24+$9,167
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports180.8¢100¢$1.31+$0.25+$1,058
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?Yes153¢100¢$1.23+$0.58+$409
Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes133.9¢100¢$1.22+$0.81+$1,932
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1500 and $1600 on Apr 25?No195¢100¢$1.20+$0.06$0
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No188.9¢100¢$1.09+$0.12+$2.93
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?Yes117.3¢100¢$1.05+$0.87+$86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming198¢100¢$1.05+$0.02+$129
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerOh My God178.5¢100¢$1.04+$0.22+$201
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes114¢100¢$1.00+$0.86+$84
Will the San Diego Padres win the NL West Division?No169¢100¢$1.00+$0.31+$69
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?No174¢100¢$1.00+$0.26+$4.94
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No244¢38.5¢$0.88−$0.13$0
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes580k0¢0¢$0$0−$841
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k1.7¢0¢$0−$2,230−$1.50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k1.7¢0¢$0−$2,230−$1.50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k1.7¢0¢$0−$2,230−$1.50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k1.7¢0¢$0−$2,230−$1.50
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k1.7¢0¢$0−$2,230−$1.50
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes130k1.7¢0¢$0−$2,230−$1.50
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes89.8k0¢0¢$0$0−$365
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes89.8k0¢0¢$0$0−$300
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes89.8k0¢0¢$0$0−$392
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes89.8k0¢0¢$0$0−$207
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes89.8k0¢0¢$0$0−$357

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?42¢258$10863%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?79¢272$21563%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?82¢10$8.2063%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?35¢39$1463%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?34¢210$7163%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?35¢1,010$35463%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?36¢1,010$36463%70
BUY CowboysBuccaneers vs. Cowboys81¢20.0k$16.2k63%70Whale
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?93¢5$4.6563%70
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?78¢22$1763%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?40¢1,000$40063%70
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?80¢380$30463%70
SELL NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?67¢57$3863%70
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?43¢72$3163%70
SELL NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?68¢25$1763%70
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?82¢200$16463%70
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?81¢769$62363%70
SELL NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?72¢66$4863%70
SELL NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?73¢39$2963%70
SELL NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?78¢118$9263%70