sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,787

SAPolitcsSeer

0xa30…49d5
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$63.6kvol $2.84M
PnL 30d+$2,463gains $8,911 · losses $53
PnL 7d−$1,101win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate91.6%adj 83.5% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$311kcash n/a
Positions25 / 108open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.7%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$73.6kbelow peak −$2,671Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 91.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d82
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes86.4k85.9¢90.5¢$78.2k+$3,951$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No30.8k95.2¢98.2¢$30.3k+$935$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes26.3k83.3¢96¢$25.3k+$3,341$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No21.3k94.9¢96.5¢$20.5k+$346$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No21.0k97.1¢97.3¢$20.4k+$38$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No20.3k94.4¢96.4¢$19.6k+$407$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No19.7k94.5¢96.7¢$19.1k+$425$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes15.9k92.9¢93.3¢$14.8k+$66$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes13.1k94.6¢93.8¢$12.3k−$110$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes12.4k92.7¢90.5¢$11.3k−$280$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes9,36094.9¢96.8¢$9,056+$177$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes10,00092¢86.5¢$8,650−$550$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes10.0k81¢81.5¢$8,150+$50$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes7,90395¢96.4¢$7,615+$107$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes9,34075¢73.5¢$6,865−$140$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Yes6,99195¢95.5¢$6,676+$35$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes5,30094.2¢92.5¢$4,903−$92$0
Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes2,19393.9¢99.6¢$2,184+$124$0
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,56793¢93.6¢$1,466+$9.64$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?No1,55492.2¢93.8¢$1,457+$24$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes2,00058.4¢57.9¢$1,157−$11$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?No57795.5¢97.7¢$563+$12$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?No20990.1¢99.2¢$207+$19$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,8243.3¢2.9¢$137−$22$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes6,30048¢0¢$0−$3,024−$79

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?93¢1,552$1,44392%73Sharp
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?92.6¢2,000$1,85292%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?94.9¢471$44792%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?92.8¢9,705$9,00792%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?93¢2,789$2,59392%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?93.9¢2,193$2,06092%73Sharp
SELL NoWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?99.8¢938$93692%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?94.9¢3,844$3,64892%73Sharp
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?97¢9,379$9,10292%73Sharp
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?97.6¢6,887$6,72392%73Sharp
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?97¢7,159$6,94392%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?95¢7,997$7,59792%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?95.5¢6,210$5,93192%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?92¢1,628$1,49892%73Sharp
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?96.9¢4,935$4,78392%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?93.9¢627$58992%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?95.4¢57$5592%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?95¢2,281$2,16792%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?95.6¢3,716$3,55292%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?92¢224$20692%73Sharp