sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Roeman

0xa34…8141
WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,697vol $563k
PnL 30d+$645gains $850 · losses $957
PnL 7d−$174win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate72.2%adj 71.3% · 30d 78.3%
Open value$1,291cash n/a
Positions14 / 949open / all-time
Max drawdown−69.1%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,079below peak −$4,707Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 72.2% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity31

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes4,90052¢14.5¢$710−$1,837−$653
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes3,00042.1¢12.5¢$375−$889+$45
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?Yes19187.1¢98.9¢$188+$22$0
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Yes6424.3¢12.3¢$7.81−$7.66+$0.55
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 12?No590¢98.6¢$4.93+$0.43+$7.55
US military draft authorized in 2026?No475¢96.5¢$3.86+$0.86$0
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?No59364.1¢0¢$0−$380+$6.53
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No5894.6¢0¢$0−$27−$0.52
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes50027.5¢0¢$0−$137$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes25034¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes2003.3¢0¢$0−$6.60$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes20019.4¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?Yes10040¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes5028¢0¢$0−$14−$0.40

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 12?99.8¢80$8072%63
SELL NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 10?67.8¢20$1472%63
BUY NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 12?90¢85$7772%63
BUY YesWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?88¢60$5372%63
BUY YesWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?86.8¢44$3872%63
BUY YesWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?86.6¢65$5772%63
BUY YesWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 8?97.5¢47$4672%63
BUY NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 9?94¢17$1672%63
BUY NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 10?65.3¢20$1372%63
BUY NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 9?94¢40$3872%63
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?37¢800$29672%63
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?36.1¢800$28972%63
SELL NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 6?75.2¢25$1972%63
BUY NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 6?54.8¢25$1472%63
SELL NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 5?94¢60$5672%63
SELL YesHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?27¢20$5.4072%63
BUY NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 5?83.8¢80$6772%63
SELL YesWill Democrats win white women in the midterms?83¢82$6872%63
BUY NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 5?82¢215$17672%63
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?9¢2,001$18072%63