PnL all-time+$554vol $18.1k
PnL 30d+$224gains $303 · losses $52
PnL 7d+$4.28win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.9%adj 51.1% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$370cash n/a
Positions2 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.3%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 20h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$647below peak −$7.04Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 51.9% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Noclosed+$287U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Noclosed+$130US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? · Noclosed+$93Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? · Noclosed+$92Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$90
Worst markets
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yesclosed−$52Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yesclosed−$49Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yesclosed−$44Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed−$40Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$14
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? | No | 247 | 80.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $201 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 283 | 53¢ | 59.5¢ | $168 | +$18 | $0 |
Recent trades
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