| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 958 | 70¢ | 68.5¢ | $656 | −$14 | +$16 | |
| Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm? | Yes | 568 | 88¢ | 99.8¢ | $567 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 722 | 50¢ | 75.5¢ | $545 | +$184 | +$7.35 | |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | Yes | 471 | 89¢ | 96.3¢ | $454 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 531 | 63.7¢ | 84.4¢ | $448 | +$110 | −$5.92 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 491 | 81¢ | 88.5¢ | $435 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 330 | 88.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $299 | +$6.31 | −$93 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 357 | 66.1¢ | 79.6¢ | $284 | +$48 | −$9.94 | |
| Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 333 | 90¢ | 84.5¢ | $281 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 292 | 75.8¢ | 93¢ | $272 | +$50 | +$9.54 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 280 | 89¢ | 96.1¢ | $269 | +$20 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 286 | 89.4¢ | 91.5¢ | $262 | +$6.03 | −$61 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | No | 372 | 61.6¢ | 65.8¢ | $244 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? | Yes | 287 | 81.4¢ | 83¢ | $238 | +$4.52 | −$26 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 389 | 58¢ | 58.5¢ | $228 | +$1.95 | −$17 | |
| Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? | Yes | 224 | 84.3¢ | 98.5¢ | $221 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 265 | 83¢ | 82.5¢ | $219 | −$1.32 | −$0.48 | |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026? | No | 231 | 90.4¢ | 93.8¢ | $217 | +$7.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 244 | 86¢ | 88.5¢ | $216 | +$6.10 | +$14 | |
| Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1? | Yes | 218 | 88¢ | 97.6¢ | $213 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 307 | 63.9¢ | 65¢ | $200 | +$3.47 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 12? | No | 192 | 63¢ | 100¢ | $192 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12? | No | 194 | 85.6¢ | 97.9¢ | $190 | +$24 | −$4.96 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | Yes | 387 | 49¢ | 47.5¢ | $184 | −$5.80 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | No | 182 | 79¢ | 99.8¢ | $182 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? | Yes | 361 | 63.8¢ | 49.5¢ | $179 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12? | No | 184 | 85¢ | 95.9¢ | $176 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12? | No | 360 | 74.5¢ | 48¢ | $173 | −$95 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12? | Yes | 406 | 46¢ | 39.5¢ | $160 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 248 | 72.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $160 | −$19 | −$7.23 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 262 | 60¢ | 58.5¢ | $153 | −$3.93 | −$21 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 920 | 65.8¢ | 16.5¢ | $152 | −$453 | −$38 | |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | No | 147 | 89.9¢ | 98¢ | $144 | +$12 | −$1.58 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | No | 167 | 83.4¢ | 85.5¢ | $143 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 200 | 79¢ | 69¢ | $138 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 195 | 90.8¢ | 68.5¢ | $134 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat? | No | 161 | 84.6¢ | 82.5¢ | $133 | −$3.34 | −$0.70 | |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | Yes | 136 | 39¢ | 97.6¢ | $133 | +$80 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12? | No | 239 | 71¢ | 53.5¢ | $128 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 594 | 18¢ | 21.5¢ | $128 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 163 | 51.7¢ | 77.6¢ | $127 | +$42 | +$18 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31? | Yes | 128 | 90.3¢ | 98.2¢ | $126 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 138 | 88.9¢ | 88.8¢ | $123 | −$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election? | No | 162 | 85¢ | 73.5¢ | $119 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 143 | 79¢ | 78.5¢ | $112 | −$0.71 | −$2.70 | |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 498 | 11¢ | 22.3¢ | $111 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 125 | 88.7¢ | 88.7¢ | $111 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | Yes | 249 | 45¢ | 42.5¢ | $106 | −$6.22 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026? | No | 112 | 90.1¢ | 94.1¢ | $105 | +$4.43 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 133 | 81.7¢ | 77.5¢ | $103 | −$5.56 | −$8.30 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 192 | 48¢ | 53.5¢ | $103 | +$11 | +$28 | |
| Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? | No | 455 | 41¢ | 22.5¢ | $102 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 136 | 73¢ | 74.5¢ | $101 | +$2.04 | +$5.78 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 114 | 87¢ | 84.5¢ | $96 | −$2.85 | −$8.02 | |
| Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | No | 211 | 76.6¢ | 45¢ | $95 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will tkzin have the most kills on a single map at VALORANT Champions 2026? | Yes | 101 | 88.2¢ | 93.2¢ | $94 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 135 | 73¢ | 69.5¢ | $94 | −$4.73 | −$11 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 100 | 91¢ | 93.5¢ | $94 | +$2.50 | −$3.40 | |
| Will Hungary win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? | No | 187 | 72¢ | 49.5¢ | $93 | −$42 | −$169 | |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026? | No | 97 | 91¢ | 95.6¢ | $92 | +$4.39 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | No | 132 | 68¢ | 69.5¢ | $92 | +$1.98 | $0 | |
| Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | Yes | 108 | 77¢ | 84¢ | $91 | +$7.56 | +$1.91 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 106 | 76¢ | 85.5¢ | $91 | +$10 | +$31 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | Yes | 182 | 48¢ | 49¢ | $89 | +$1.82 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 226 | 33.2¢ | 38.5¢ | $87 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | Yes | 106 | 85.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $86 | −$4.60 | −$27 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | Yes | 87 | 88.2¢ | 96.4¢ | $84 | +$7.07 | +$3.15 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 92 | 75¢ | 91¢ | $84 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31? | Yes | 92 | 91¢ | 91¢ | $84 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? | Yes | 89 | 88¢ | 91.5¢ | $81 | +$3.12 | +$2.92 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 130 | 65¢ | 62.5¢ | $81 | −$3.25 | −$6.65 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 93 | 72¢ | 86.5¢ | $80 | +$14 | +$35 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 86 | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $80 | +$3.87 | $0 | |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? | Yes | 80 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $79 | +$6.36 | −$1.09 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | No | 109 | 81.1¢ | 72.5¢ | $79 | −$9.38 | $0 | |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 254 | 35.5¢ | 30.5¢ | $78 | −$13 | −$45 | |
| Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 80 | 75.9¢ | 96.3¢ | $77 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | No | 86 | 86¢ | 86.5¢ | $74 | +$0.43 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? | No | 89 | 87¢ | 83.5¢ | $74 | −$3.12 | −$2.97 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 101 | 73¢ | 72.5¢ | $73 | −$0.50 | +$9.01 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | No | 84 | 86¢ | 86¢ | $72 | $0 | −$7.15 | |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 72 | 87.5¢ | 99.8¢ | $72 | +$8.82 | −$1.90 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | No | 108 | 64.3¢ | 66.5¢ | $72 | +$2.41 | −$18 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 80 | 80¢ | 86.5¢ | $69 | +$5.20 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 75 | 75¢ | 90.8¢ | $68 | +$12 | −$2.94 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 72 | 87¢ | 93.5¢ | $67 | +$4.68 | +$0.17 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 98 | 73¢ | 68.5¢ | $67 | −$4.41 | −$6.10 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 106 | 64¢ | 62.5¢ | $66 | −$1.59 | −$2.32 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 90 | 73¢ | 71.5¢ | $64 | −$1.35 | −$11 | |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 94 | 68¢ | 68¢ | $64 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 74 | 87¢ | 84.5¢ | $63 | −$1.85 | −$6.06 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 72 | 80¢ | 85.5¢ | $62 | +$3.96 | −$0.95 | |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 112 | 57¢ | 54.5¢ | $61 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | No change | 69 | 68¢ | 87.5¢ | $60 | +$13 | −$8.70 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 61 | 88¢ | 97.3¢ | $59 | +$5.67 | $0 | |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 70 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $59 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026? | No | 61 | 90¢ | 97.1¢ | $59 | +$4.30 | +$1.42 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 66 | 84¢ | 87.2¢ | $58 | +$2.11 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 79 | 68¢ | 72.5¢ | $57 | +$3.56 | −$1.56 | |
| Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? | No | 88 | 78¢ | 64.5¢ | $57 | −$12 | $0 | |