sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,649

387411007415611814092217897387

0xa49…7054
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$102kvol $22.3M
PnL 30d−$140gains $830 · losses $2,952
PnL 7d+$607win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.0%adj 51.9% · 30d 52.0%
Open value$15.3kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 32,972open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.2%of equity peak
Account age2.5ylast trade 27d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$108kbelow peak −$8,175Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 52.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d9
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No2,66554¢87.5¢$2,332+$893$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes8,78215.6¢17.1¢$1,502+$131+$90
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2026?No1,03097.1¢98.1¢$1,010+$10$0
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?No1,09285¢89.5¢$977+$49$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No81585.9¢97.4¢$794+$94$0
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No86671.9¢77¢$666+$44+$21
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes7044.2¢88.9¢$626+$597+$1.75
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes50853.7¢95.1¢$483+$210+$35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No60882.1¢79¢$480−$19−$31
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?No31794.6¢98.9¢$313+$14$0
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?No26382.1¢98.1¢$258+$42+$5.23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?No24696.2¢97.4¢$240+$2.96$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No24493.7¢96.1¢$235+$5.78−$0.38
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes69226.8¢27.5¢$190+$5.10−$10
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Yes71811.6¢25.5¢$183+$100+$2.52
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No58049.7¢31.5¢$183−$106+$0.64
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes54553.8¢32.5¢$177−$116+$108
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Yes22424.4¢49.5¢$111+$56+$4.80
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No29746.8¢36.5¢$108−$31$0
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes21139.1¢46¢$97+$14+$17
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes27017.8¢27.5¢$74+$26$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3,44514¢1.8¢$62−$421−$2.34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes1,6901.8¢3.7¢$62+$31−$2.59
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes5886.4¢10.3¢$61+$23+$14
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Yes3988.4¢14.3¢$57+$24+$15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes39811.6¢11.5¢$46−$0.64+$32
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes3272.6¢11¢$36+$27+$0.28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes3177.9¢9.6¢$30+$5.37+$7.04
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes6,8061.5¢0.4¢$24−$76−$6.66
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes33411¢7¢$24−$13+$3.50
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes2437¢8.5¢$21+$3.66+$7.98
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes7295¢2.8¢$20−$16+$13
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes1,9382.4¢1.1¢$20−$26+$0.77
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes8276.8¢2.1¢$17−$39−$28
Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes4325.5¢3.6¢$16−$8.27$0
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes4934.9¢3.1¢$15−$8.81+$1.16
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes6378.4¢2.4¢$15−$39+$2.55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes7871.9¢1.8¢$14−$0.98+$15
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes24050¢5¢$12−$108$0
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes5,63011.1¢0.2¢$11−$614−$283
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes9868.6¢1.1¢$10−$74+$30
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes23811¢4.4¢$10−$16+$94
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes3,7485.3¢0.3¢$9.37−$189+$86
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes2362.2¢2.7¢$6.38+$1.16−$4.69
Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes2397.1¢2.7¢$6.33−$11$0
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes3208¢2¢$6.24−$19$0
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes8466.4¢0.5¢$4.65−$50$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes9413.9¢0.4¢$3.76−$33+$47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes7734.4¢0.5¢$3.48−$30+$16
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?Yes4165.9¢0.8¢$3.12−$21$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes5696.2¢0.5¢$2.56−$33+$31
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?Yes2475.9¢0.8¢$1.86−$13+$0.28
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes5399¢0.3¢$1.62−$47+$6.92
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes2907.5¢0.5¢$1.31−$20−$18
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes2947.5¢0.4¢$1.03−$21+$53
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes2954.6¢0.3¢$0.74−$13$0
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes25.7k2.6¢0¢$0−$666−$34
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes24.1k1.1¢0¢$0−$268−$4.36
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes23.8k2¢0¢$0−$487−$4.46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes23.4k3.7¢0¢$0−$865+$0.18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes21.5k8.4¢0¢$0−$1,806+$55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes21.3k5.3¢0¢$0−$1,134+$244
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes21.2k3.1¢0¢$0−$649−$114
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes20.3k1¢0¢$0−$212−$19
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes20.0k16.9¢0¢$0−$3,373+$540
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes19.6k0.5¢0¢$0−$103+$7.70
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes19.6k1.4¢0¢$0−$267−$49
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes19.4k1.2¢0¢$0−$233+$110
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes19.2k5.9¢0¢$0−$1,131+$313
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes18.8k1.1¢0¢$0−$208+$25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes18.8k5.5¢0¢$0−$1,030−$22
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes18.6k1.1¢0¢$0−$212+$126
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes18.2k20.9¢0¢$0−$3,796+$663
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes17.9k1.3¢0¢$0−$230+$40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes17.6k16.9¢0¢$0−$2,974+$1,252
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes17.3k1.1¢0¢$0−$195+$6.17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes17.2k5.5¢0¢$0−$951+$26
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes17.0k5.9¢0¢$0−$996−$33
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes16.7k5¢0¢$0−$829−$61
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes15.5k14.9¢0¢$0−$2,320+$597
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes15.3k1.5¢0¢$0−$228+$7.71
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes15.1k2.9¢0¢$0−$436−$104
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes14.8k1.7¢0¢$0−$257+$23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes14.4k1.1¢0¢$0−$160+$30
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes14.1k1.2¢0¢$0−$168+$33
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes14.1k5.8¢0¢$0−$818+$21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.9k0.9¢0¢$0−$125+$65
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes13.8k3.5¢0¢$0−$477$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes13.6k4.6¢0¢$0−$625+$77
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes13.6k2.1¢0¢$0−$291+$237
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes13.0k18.3¢0¢$0−$2,393+$143
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes12.5k3.4¢0¢$0−$421−$53
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes12.5k1¢0¢$0−$121+$19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes12.0k1.3¢0¢$0−$160+$40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes11.7k8.8¢0¢$0−$1,031+$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes11.7k1.1¢0¢$0−$126+$4.54
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes11.6k12.7¢0¢$0−$1,477+$188
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes11.6k1.4¢0¢$0−$163+$41
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes11.6k0.6¢0¢$0−$66−$0.43
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes11.5k1.8¢0¢$0−$205+$130

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?0.4¢45$0.1852%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?5¢11$0.5352%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?0.4¢45$0.1852%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?5.1¢45$2.3152%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?0.4¢44$0.1852%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?5.2¢47$2.4352%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?5.2¢47$2.4452%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?0.4¢44$0.1852%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?0.4¢43$0.1752%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?5¢47$2.3452%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?0.4¢43$0.1752%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?2.1¢45$0.9652%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?0.4¢45$0.1852%59
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?2¢25$0.5152%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?2.2¢46$1.0152%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?5.8¢47$2.7152%59
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?19¢97$1852%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?0.4¢45$0.1852%59
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?0.9¢44$0.4052%59
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?20¢221$4452%59