sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,283

sleepy-panda

0xa49…4c40
WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1.34Mvol $185M
PnL 30d−$93.0kgains $9,576 · losses $148k
PnL 7d+$3,029win rate 7d 69.7%
Win rate74.5%adj 73.6% · 30d 71.9%
Open value$54.3kcash n/a
Positions59 / 5,641open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 20h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1.23Mbelow peak −$2.22MOct 8

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 74.5% · shrunk toward 50%84
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 59

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes41.5k55.2¢84.5¢$35.1k+$12.2k−$290
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k31.8¢10.3¢$3,075−$6,469+$9,408
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢8.1¢$2,415+$2,280$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢7.4¢$2,205+$2,070$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes7,83023¢22.5¢$1,762−$39$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢4.6¢$1,380+$1,245$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢3.1¢$915+$780$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢2.8¢$825+$690$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢2.3¢$690+$555$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢1.9¢$555+$420$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢1.8¢$525+$390$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢1.8¢$525+$390$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢1.7¢$495+$360$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢1.4¢$405+$270$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢1.3¢$375+$240$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,95141.2¢15.5¢$302−$502−$552
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢1¢$285+$150$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.9¢$270+$135$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.9¢$255+$120$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.7¢$195+$60$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.5¢$165+$30$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.5¢$165+$30$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.5¢$150+$15$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.5¢$150+$15$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes40.0k0.9¢0.4¢$140−$215$0
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.5¢$135−$0.07$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.5¢$135−$0.07$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.4¢$105−$30$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.2¢$45−$90$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.2¢$45−$90$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.2¢$45−$90$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.2¢$45−$90$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.2¢$45−$90$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.2¢$45−$90$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes8,0270.5¢0.5¢$36−$3.53$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.5¢0.1¢$15−$120$0
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-17?Yes14.0k7¢0¢$0−$980−$46
Ducks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights3,0032.7¢0¢$0−$80−$3.90

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?24¢600$14475%39
BUY JetsAvalanche vs. Jets42¢200$8475%39
BUY JetsAvalanche vs. Jets42¢1,325$55775%39
BUY JetsAvalanche vs. Jets42¢1,000$42075%39
BUY JetsAvalanche vs. Jets42¢1,000$42075%39
BUY JetsAvalanche vs. Jets42¢863$36275%39
BUY JetsAvalanche vs. Jets41¢1,000$41075%39
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Jets34.3¢200$6975%39
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Jets35¢200$7075%39
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Jets36¢100$3675%39
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Jets38¢552$21075%39
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Jets37¢5,042$1,86575%39
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Jets37¢800$29675%39
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Jets37¢2,000$74075%39
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?24¢1,500$36075%39
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.4¢3,200$1375%39
BUY KingsPanthers vs. Kings8¢250$2075%39
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?23¢600$13875%39
BUY BluesBlues vs. Blackhawks10.5¢603$6375%39
BUY Red WingsSenators vs. Red Wings85¢10$8.5075%39