| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 160k | 50¢ | 99.9¢ | $160k | +$79.8k | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 7,908 | 59.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $7,157 | +$2,482 | +$235 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6,864 | 30.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $5,731 | +$3,660 | +$261 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | No | 4,182 | 81.8¢ | 77.5¢ | $3,241 | −$179 | −$6.21 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 3,617 | 81.7¢ | 76.5¢ | $2,767 | −$188 | +$122 | |
| Will Noam be in the next Israeli government? | No | 2,190 | 95.9¢ | 98.3¢ | $2,152 | +$52 | −$806 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8,511 | 15.3¢ | 22.5¢ | $1,915 | +$614 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 2,948 | 29.7¢ | 63.5¢ | $1,872 | +$996 | +$957 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,893 | 95.2¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,809 | +$7.11 | +$123 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 16.4k | 19¢ | 8.1¢ | $1,321 | −$1,800 | +$1.67 | |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | No | 1,300 | 80.1¢ | 89¢ | $1,157 | +$115 | −$310 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | No | 1,072 | 85.1¢ | 87.5¢ | $938 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | No | 910 | 90¢ | 97.6¢ | $889 | +$70 | −$504 | |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 1,339 | 63.7¢ | 65¢ | $871 | +$17 | −$217 | |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | No | 782 | 91.8¢ | 98.2¢ | $768 | +$50 | −$92 | |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 730 | 78.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $698 | +$122 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | No | 1,300 | 49.3¢ | 46.5¢ | $605 | −$37 | −$32 | |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | No | 630 | 87.8¢ | 91¢ | $573 | +$20 | −$38 | |
| Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | No | 585 | 88.8¢ | 96.8¢ | $566 | +$47 | −$159 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat? | Yes | 545 | 96.2¢ | 96.1¢ | $523 | −$0.59 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,138 | 33.9¢ | 43.7¢ | $497 | +$111 | +$442 | |
| Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government? | No | 471 | 91.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $452 | +$24 | +$36 | |
| Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | No | 456 | 85.9¢ | 92.6¢ | $422 | +$31 | −$105 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,138 | 3.6¢ | 36.5¢ | $415 | +$375 | +$14 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | No | 413 | 83¢ | 87¢ | $359 | +$17 | −$8.93 | |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 1,251 | 22.8¢ | 28.5¢ | $357 | +$72 | +$229 | |
| Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | No | 302 | 87.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $282 | +$18 | −$116 | |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 364 | 50.8¢ | 70.9¢ | $258 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 543 | 39.6¢ | 46.5¢ | $253 | +$38 | +$36 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? | Yes | 264 | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $252 | +$6.60 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 160k | 49.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $240 | −$79.5k | +$4,596 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 11.0k | 5.1¢ | 2.1¢ | $232 | −$330 | −$28 | |
| Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 237 | 89.3¢ | 93¢ | $220 | +$8.68 | $0 | |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | No | 258 | 83.5¢ | 85¢ | $219 | +$3.97 | +$0.45 | |
| Will Tally Gotliv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | No | 242 | 84.8¢ | 90¢ | $218 | +$13 | −$155 | |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government? | Yes | 400 | 49.9¢ | 54¢ | $216 | +$16 | +$3.59 | |
| Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 286 | 67.4¢ | 75.5¢ | $216 | +$23 | +$26 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 222 | 94.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $214 | +$4.55 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 963 | 22¢ | 22¢ | $212 | $0 | +$235 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? | Yes | 218 | 96¢ | 96.1¢ | $210 | +$0.11 | +$0.09 | |
| Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior? | No | 211 | 94.1¢ | 98.5¢ | $208 | +$9.15 | $0 | |
| Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? | No | 303 | 56.2¢ | 62¢ | $188 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 186 | 96.4¢ | 97.2¢ | $181 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | Yes | 238 | 75¢ | 74¢ | $176 | −$2.38 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat? | Yes | 178 | 96¢ | 96.8¢ | $172 | +$1.32 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 173 | 84.1¢ | 93.9¢ | $163 | +$17 | +$5.43 | |
| Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 174 | 80¢ | 88¢ | $153 | +$14 | +$22 | |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 94.3k | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $141 | +$43 | +$611 | |
| Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 190 | 71.6¢ | 72.5¢ | $138 | +$1.73 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat? | No | 143 | 96¢ | 95.5¢ | $137 | −$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Interior? | No | 129 | 89.2¢ | 96.1¢ | $124 | +$8.76 | +$10 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat? | Yes | 125 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $121 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | No | 127 | 88.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $121 | +$9.07 | −$128 | |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes | 123 | 82.1¢ | 92.9¢ | $115 | +$13 | +$9.55 | |
| Will Oded Forer be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | No | 117 | 85.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $110 | +$10 | −$173 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,138 | 3.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $108 | +$67 | +$25 | |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 108 | 97.4¢ | 99.1¢ | $107 | +$1.83 | +$48 | |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 282 | 31.6¢ | 37.5¢ | $106 | +$17 | +$383 | |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 139 | 68.9¢ | 75¢ | $104 | +$8.52 | +$1.08 | |
| Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | No | 119 | 80.3¢ | 85¢ | $101 | +$5.57 | −$62 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat? | Yes | 115 | 87¢ | 85.5¢ | $98 | −$1.73 | $0 | |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 101 | 92.4¢ | 95.6¢ | $97 | +$3.23 | $0 | |
| Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 100 | 94.9¢ | 94.7¢ | $95 | −$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat? | Yes | 100 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $95 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 13.4k | 8.2¢ | 0.7¢ | $94 | −$1,008 | −$80 | |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $94 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | No | 97 | 90.1¢ | 94.9¢ | $92 | +$4.66 | −$42 | |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 171 | 6.5¢ | 52¢ | $89 | +$78 | $0 | |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 13.2k | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $86 | −$13 | +$3,208 | |
| Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 88 | 95.1¢ | 96.1¢ | $85 | +$0.86 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 4,421 | 1.3¢ | 1.8¢ | $77 | +$22 | +$35 | |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 1,234 | 1.7¢ | 6.2¢ | $76 | +$55 | +$57 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7,169 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | $75 | −$20 | −$290 | |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 80 | 83.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $74 | +$7.40 | $0 | |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | No | 75 | 93.1¢ | 98.5¢ | $74 | +$3.99 | −$39 | |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 171 | 5.8¢ | 42¢ | $72 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 9.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $67 | −$1,074 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 79 | 76.1¢ | 81¢ | $64 | +$3.86 | −$10 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | Yes | 238 | 22¢ | 26.5¢ | $63 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat? | Yes | 63 | 98.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $62 | −$0.51 | −$0.64 | |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | No | 65 | 86.4¢ | 95¢ | $62 | +$5.58 | −$282 | |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | No | 59 | 97.8¢ | 99.5¢ | $59 | +$0.98 | −$1.79 | |
| Will Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) be the next Israeli Minister of Interior? | No | 61 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $59 | +$4.88 | $0 | |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 138 | 32.9¢ | 41.5¢ | $57 | +$12 | +$46 | |
| Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? | No | 98 | 56¢ | 56.5¢ | $55 | +$0.49 | +$0.19 | |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 150 | 56.9¢ | 34.5¢ | $52 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 79 | 67.8¢ | 64¢ | $51 | −$2.97 | −$2.05 | |
| Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 70 | 67.2¢ | 71¢ | $50 | +$2.67 | −$8.37 | |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 70 | 74.1¢ | 67.5¢ | $47 | −$4.65 | $0 | |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 50 | 90.3¢ | 93.6¢ | $47 | +$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 364 | 9.4¢ | 12.8¢ | $46 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 56 | 73.4¢ | 78.5¢ | $44 | +$2.83 | +$3.46 | |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 100 | 23¢ | 42.5¢ | $43 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 112 | 33.1¢ | 34.5¢ | $39 | +$1.52 | +$152 | |
| Will Talya Lankri be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | Yes | 188 | 3¢ | 20.5¢ | $39 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior? | No | 40 | 88.5¢ | 93¢ | $37 | +$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 52 | 20¢ | 69.5¢ | $36 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 98 | 34¢ | 36.5¢ | $36 | +$2.44 | +$3.01 | |
| Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 264 | 17.2¢ | 12.5¢ | $33 | −$13 | +$5.34 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | Yes | 400 | 6.9¢ | 7¢ | $28 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
