PnL all-time−$27vol $29.7k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate42.9%adj 46.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$941cash n/a
Positions9 / 34open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.2%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$27below peak −$31Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 42.9% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8? · Noclosed+$4.74Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? · Noclosed+$4.32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 10? · Yesclosed+$2.46Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July? · Noclosed+$2.40Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Noopen+$1.60
Worst markets
Israel strike on Iran on June 22? · Noopen−$22Will Bitcoin reach $150k in April? · Noclosed−$5.01Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Yesopen−$3.20Will San Marino win on 2025-10-09? · Yesopen−$2.52Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? · Yesclosed−$1.75
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March? | No | 340 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $340 | +$1.02 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 320 | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $320 | +$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 156 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $156 | +$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 125 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $125 | +$0.50 | −$0.28 | |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22? | No | 541 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | Yes | 500 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 420 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will San Marino win on 2025-10-09? | Yes | 280 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.52 | $0 | |
| Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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