sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

51lemons

0xa51…db68
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$359vol $298k
PnL 30d−$447gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$50win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate70.0%adj 65.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$18.2kcash n/a
Positions10 / 70open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 7mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,179below peak −$6,534Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 70.0% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Maduro out in 2025? · Noclosed+$2,276Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Noopen+$1,913Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yesclosed+$1,568Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$1,265Maduro out by November 30, 2025? · Noclosed+$1,092

Worst markets

Maduro out by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$1,296Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yesopen−$1,294Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yesopen−$1,237Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei · Yesclosed−$1,036

Open positions · 10

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No7,18973.4¢100¢$7,189+$1,913$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No5,88285¢96.1¢$5,650+$650$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1,80983.1¢97.8¢$1,769+$265$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,75557¢94.5¢$1,658+$658$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1,51566¢97¢$1,469+$469$0
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes38178.8¢100¢$381+$81$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes25.0k5.2¢0.3¢$62−$1,237$0
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes30.9k4.2¢0¢$0−$1,294$0
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes1,15026¢0¢$0−$299$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No40075¢0¢$0−$300$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei0.1¢1,110$1.1170%32
SELL NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?0.2¢2,000$4.0070%32
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?85¢5,882$5,00070%32
BUY YesWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?75¢400$30070%32
SELL NoUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?31¢1,000$31070%32
SELL YesWill Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?0.3¢536$1.6170%32
SELL YesWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?0.1¢1,500$1.5070%32
BUY YesNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?78.8¢381$30070%32
BUY YesWill Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?21.2¢236$5070%32
BUY YesWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?90¢555$50070%32
BUY NoUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?80¢625$50070%32
SELL YesWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?4¢2,632$10570%32
BUY NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?66¢1,515$1,00070%32
BUY NoWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?95.6¢523$50070%32
BUY YesWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?38¢2,632$1,00070%32
BUY NoWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?97.8¢1,023$1,00070%32
BUY NoWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?98.4¢1,016$1,00070%32
BUY NoWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?98.3¢1,018$1,00070%32
BUY YesWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?38.8¢2,574$1,00070%32
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?85.5¢584$50070%32