PnL all-time+$85.8kvol $3.08M
PnL 30d−$2,472gains $4.90 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,723win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate37.5%adj 43.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$96.0kcash n/a
Positions6 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 8d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$73.5kbelow peak −$82.0kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 37.5% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d73
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$228kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$28.7kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? · Yesclosed+$14.3kKanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · Noopen+$2,374Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$664
Worst markets
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaevclosed−$82.9kUS forces enter Iran by December 31? · Noclosed−$33.4kUS forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$20.1kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$15.1kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$15.1k
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 68.5k | 95¢ | 98.5¢ | $67.5k | +$2,374 | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 19.0k | 94.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $17.9k | +$21 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 97.9k | 19.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $9,298 | −$9,743 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,763 | 24.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $1,095 | −$1,048 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,346 | 12.8¢ | 2.4¢ | $152 | −$661 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 580 | 7¢ | 5.5¢ | $32 | −$8.70 | $0 |
Recent trades
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