PnL all-time+$538kvol $6.77M
PnL 30d+$107kgains $99.0k · losses $0
PnL 7d−$9,825win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate72.2%adj 60.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$96.7kcash n/a
Positions3 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.3%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$531kbelow peak −$11.6kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82
Adjusted win rateraw 72.2% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$257kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$163kWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$51.9kWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$47.2kWill Spain win on 2026-07-10? · Yesclosed+$17.2k
Worst markets
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$12.9kUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Yesopen−$9,814US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$8,400Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$6,501Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29? · Yesopen−$862
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 841k | 12.7¢ | 11.5¢ | $96.7k | −$9,814 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 56.6k | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,224 | −$277 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29? | Yes | 4,540 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$862 | $0 |
Recent trades
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