sharpside
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thought-process

0xa58…dad8
PnL 10k+1y+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$24.9kvol $1.88M
PnL 30d+$623gains $7,340 · losses $1,253
PnL 7d+$42win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.8%adj 47.4% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$461cash n/a
Positions2 / 96open / all-time
Max drawdown−75.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 28d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$28.2kbelow peak −$69.9kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 46.8% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d4
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity25

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 2

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes13.5k3¢3.4¢$461+$54$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes6,35948.1¢0¢$0−$3,056−$10.7k

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?21¢38.4k$8,06447%40
SELL YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?6¢7,440$44747%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?58¢17.1k$9,92947%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?60¢17.0k$10.2k47%40Whale
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?54¢65.4k$35.3k47%40Whale
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?46¢34.0k$15.6k47%40Whale
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?47¢34.0k$16.0k47%40Whale
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?46¢2,823$1,29947%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?46¢33.7k$15.5k47%40Whale
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44¢20.0k$8,80047%40
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?54¢10.1k$5,44847%40
BUY CanadaCanada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance29¢1,222$35447%40
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?4¢5,356$21447%40
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?5.7¢9,282$52947%40
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?33¢1,098$36247%40
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?89¢4,118$3,66547%40
SELL Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies38¢222$8447%40
BUY Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines6¢554$3347%40
BUY Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines6¢1,109$6747%40
SELL St. Johns Red StormSt. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils61¢333$20347%40