| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | No | 26.9k | 13.2¢ | 11.5¢ | $3,098 | −$449 | −$214 | |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 19.6k | 14.1¢ | 12.5¢ | $2,451 | −$318 | +$762 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.6k | 28.8¢ | 10.5¢ | $2,061 | −$3,601 | −$501 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | Yes | 5,717 | 35.1¢ | 28.5¢ | $1,629 | −$380 | +$31 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7,332 | 17.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $1,063 | −$219 | −$5.00 | |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? | No | 1,000 | 75¢ | 73¢ | $730 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 8,314 | 9.3¢ | 8.5¢ | $707 | −$63 | −$9.25 | |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | Yes | 6,155 | 12.4¢ | 10.5¢ | $646 | −$114 | −$52 | |
| Will Joseph Woll record 4+ shutouts? | No | 703 | 76¢ | 89.5¢ | $629 | +$95 | +$2.32 | |
| Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? | No | 728 | 69.6¢ | 74.5¢ | $542 | +$35 | −$407 | |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,197 | 10.6¢ | 10¢ | $520 | −$32 | +$87 | |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4,944 | 13.3¢ | 10.5¢ | $519 | −$137 | +$28 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3,475 | 14¢ | 14.5¢ | $504 | +$17 | −$65 | |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2,794 | 18¢ | 17.5¢ | $489 | −$14 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,042 | 48.3¢ | 41.5¢ | $433 | −$71 | −$120 | |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | No | 1,282 | 28.1¢ | 28.5¢ | $365 | +$5.76 | +$735 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 4,321 | 11.4¢ | 8¢ | $346 | −$145 | $0 | |
| Will Logitech G Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award? | No | 382 | 83.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $342 | +$24 | −$88 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | No | 2,298 | 18.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $333 | −$93 | $0 | |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 809 | 48.9¢ | 40.5¢ | $328 | −$68 | −$49 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026? | Yes | 380 | 82¢ | 85¢ | $323 | +$11 | −$97 | |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 31.2k | 9.2¢ | 1¢ | $312 | −$2,551 | −$1.35 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 643 | 33.7¢ | 47¢ | $302 | +$86 | +$267 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026? | Yes | 701 | 36.9¢ | 41.5¢ | $291 | +$32 | +$161 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,289 | 13¢ | 12.5¢ | $286 | −$12 | +$11 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 696 | 18¢ | 40.5¢ | $282 | +$157 | +$97 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? | No | 1,033 | 43.2¢ | 26.5¢ | $274 | −$173 | −$12 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 690 | 40.4¢ | 39¢ | $269 | −$9.89 | −$63 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 535 | 49.1¢ | 48.5¢ | $260 | −$3.45 | +$82 | |
| Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 415 | 63.1¢ | 61.5¢ | $255 | −$6.52 | $0 | |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 378 | 45.3¢ | 66.3¢ | $251 | +$79 | +$129 | |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,987 | 12¢ | 12.5¢ | $248 | +$11 | +$12 | |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | No | 348 | 58.3¢ | 70¢ | $244 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,698 | 3.8¢ | 4.3¢ | $242 | +$23 | +$843 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026? | Yes | 936 | 26¢ | 25.5¢ | $239 | −$4.25 | +$102 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 653 | 47.5¢ | 35¢ | $228 | −$81 | +$24 | |
| Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 590 | 46.2¢ | 38.5¢ | $227 | −$46 | +$38 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 926 | 32.3¢ | 24.5¢ | $227 | −$72 | −$122 | |
| Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026? | Yes | 658 | 25.7¢ | 33.7¢ | $222 | +$52 | +$465 | |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 261 | 83.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $221 | +$1.80 | +$0.44 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,987 | 24.6¢ | 11¢ | $219 | −$270 | +$606 | |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,058 | 20.2¢ | 20.5¢ | $217 | +$3.47 | +$193 | |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | No | 393 | 56.2¢ | 53¢ | $208 | −$13 | −$192 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | No | 379 | 58.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $203 | −$19 | +$32 | |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | No | 1,497 | 20.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $202 | −$105 | −$24 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 2,370 | 10.6¢ | 8.5¢ | $201 | −$51 | +$14 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026? | No | 444 | 46.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $193 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.8M in September? | No | 242 | 63.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $192 | +$39 | −$44 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 746 | 25.9¢ | 25.5¢ | $190 | −$3.09 | +$11 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,552 | 5¢ | 4.1¢ | $187 | −$43 | +$7.10 | |
| Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | Yes | 344 | 37.6¢ | 52.5¢ | $181 | +$51 | +$61 | |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? | Yes | 1,072 | 15.2¢ | 16.8¢ | $180 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? | Yes | 617 | 40.4¢ | 28.5¢ | $176 | −$74 | −$58 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 1,424 | 12¢ | 12¢ | $171 | +$0.23 | +$2.57 | |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,617 | 10¢ | 10.5¢ | $170 | +$8.09 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 890 | 19.8¢ | 19¢ | $169 | −$7.52 | −$45 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 240 | 63.8¢ | 70¢ | $168 | +$15 | +$31 | |
| Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 200 | 77¢ | 83.5¢ | $167 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Riot Games Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award? | No | 240 | 69¢ | 69.5¢ | $167 | +$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 247 | 55.4¢ | 66¢ | $163 | +$26 | −$27 | |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 368 | 53.4¢ | 41.5¢ | $153 | −$44 | −$9.66 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 504 | 23.9¢ | 30¢ | $151 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,564 | 10.4¢ | 9.5¢ | $149 | −$15 | −$0.46 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 511 | 41.9¢ | 28.5¢ | $146 | −$68 | +$105 | |
| House favorite on November 2 wins the election? | No | 2,145 | 7¢ | 6.5¢ | $139 | −$11 | +$10 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,823 | 14.3¢ | 7.5¢ | $137 | −$124 | +$48 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,188 | 12.7¢ | 11.5¢ | $137 | −$15 | −$51 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 12.5¢ | 9¢ | $135 | −$53 | +$94 | |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | No | 150 | 74¢ | 89.4¢ | $134 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? | Yes | 6,890 | 7.2¢ | 1.9¢ | $131 | −$368 | +$1.23 | |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | Yes | 345 | 33¢ | 35¢ | $121 | +$6.96 | +$4.22 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026? | Yes | 298 | 28¢ | 39.5¢ | $118 | +$34 | +$126 | |
| Will two people dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | 595 | 21¢ | 19.5¢ | $116 | −$8.87 | $0 | |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September? | No | 131 | 80¢ | 84.5¢ | $111 | +$5.91 | +$2.74 | |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? | Yes | 200 | 38¢ | 55.5¢ | $111 | +$35 | +$127 | |
| Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027? | Yes | 491 | 24.2¢ | 22.5¢ | $110 | −$8.51 | +$23 | |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? | Yes | 127 | 73.5¢ | 86¢ | $109 | +$16 | +$4.57 | |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%? | Yes | 606 | 14¢ | 17.5¢ | $106 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 718 | 21.3¢ | 14.5¢ | $104 | −$49 | +$2.40 | |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31? | Yes | 1,863 | 9.6¢ | 5.5¢ | $102 | −$76 | +$73 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,706 | 9.5¢ | 6¢ | $102 | −$59 | +$14 | |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | Yes | 340 | 35.6¢ | 30¢ | $102 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31? | Yes | 5,423 | 10.9¢ | 1.8¢ | $98 | −$496 | −$357 | |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 552 | 25.3¢ | 17.5¢ | $97 | −$43 | −$7.65 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026? | No | 579 | 32.4¢ | 16.5¢ | $96 | −$92 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 884 | 12¢ | 10.5¢ | $93 | −$13 | +$39 | |
| Will Flop launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 108 | 68.4¢ | 82.5¢ | $89 | +$15 | +$14 | |
| Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 360 | 48.6¢ | 24.5¢ | $88 | −$87 | +$61 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026? | Yes | 1,940 | 10.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $87 | −$117 | −$5.97 | |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | No | 115 | 70¢ | 74¢ | $85 | +$4.60 | −$96 | |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31? | Yes | 676 | 8.7¢ | 12.5¢ | $85 | +$25 | +$189 | |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | No | 155 | 60¢ | 54.5¢ | $84 | −$8.50 | $0 | |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%? | Yes | 278 | 27.7¢ | 30.3¢ | $84 | +$7.18 | +$66 | |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? | Yes | 707 | 15.3¢ | 11.5¢ | $81 | −$27 | +$3.25 | |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | No | 100 | 77¢ | 80.3¢ | $80 | +$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 125 | 48¢ | 64¢ | $80 | +$20 | −$25 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,859 | 0.1¢ | 4.3¢ | $79 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of November 2026? | No | 300 | 30¢ | 25.5¢ | $77 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | Yes | 3,435 | 3.7¢ | 2.2¢ | $74 | −$52 | −$6.53 | |
| Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,917 | 13.5¢ | 3.9¢ | $74 | −$185 | +$20 | |