sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,041

risk-manager

0xa61…0abd
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$195kvol $699M
PnL 30d−$14.1kgains $23.0k · losses $21.5k
PnL 7d−$1,748win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate65.3%adj 64.7% · 30d 57.9%
Open value$146kcash n/a
Positions57 / 871open / all-time
Max drawdown−98.5%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 42d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$241kbelow peak −$15.8MOct 9

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 65.3% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity2

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yesclosed+$58.9kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$52.9kWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$29.9kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$28.8kWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yesclosed+$24.7k

Worst markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$53.7kFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$39.3kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$28.2kWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen−$22.9kWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$18.6k

Open positions · 57

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No32.0k80.7¢91.4¢$29.2k+$3,407−$26.3k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No26.0k79.5¢75¢$19.5k−$1,170$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes105k30.9¢15.5¢$16.2k−$16.2k+$13.9k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No15.0k94¢96.7¢$14.5k+$405$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No14.9k83.7¢94.5¢$14.1k+$1,604+$21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No10.0k83¢90.5¢$9,050+$750+$173
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10.0k82.7¢84.5¢$8,450+$175+$1,500
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No5,06884.4¢97.6¢$4,943+$665−$344
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No5,00086¢89.5¢$4,475+$175$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes5,45788.9¢81.5¢$4,447−$402$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No4,50075¢95¢$4,275+$900$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.19M0.8¢0.2¢$3,291−$14.2k+$4,564
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No3,00089¢92.9¢$2,786+$116$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No4,00070¢53.5¢$2,140−$660−$285
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes2,00069.7¢93.5¢$1,870+$475$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes6,50057.1¢17.5¢$1,137−$2,572$0
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes19.2k14.8¢4.4¢$833−$1,992−$2,413
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1,57484.3¢48¢$756−$571$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes461k0.2¢0.2¢$692−$231$0
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No45075.6¢96.3¢$433+$93$0
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic45067¢92.5¢$416+$115$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes49380.7¢76.5¢$377−$21$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes250k0.4¢0.2¢$375−$625+$1,562
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes196k0.6¢0.2¢$294−$881+$4,104
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes500k0.2¢0.1¢$250−$750+$385
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes398k0.6¢0.1¢$199−$2,191+$3,752
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1,50023¢9.5¢$142−$202$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢1.4¢$92+$55$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes2,5477.2¢3.4¢$85−$98−$309
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No15080¢34¢$51−$69$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes30.0k0¢0.2¢$45+$45$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes30.0k0¢0.2¢$45+$45$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.7¢$44+$7.73$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No15073¢27.5¢$41−$68$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes27.3k0¢0.2¢$41+$41$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.5¢$37+$0.93$0
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes21.1k0.4¢0.1¢$21−$63+$10.4k
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes30.0k0¢0.1¢$15+$15$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes30.0k0¢0.1¢$15+$15$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes66915¢1.8¢$12−$89+$17
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,8000.5¢0.1¢$3.40−$33$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7550.6¢0.1¢$0.38−$4.15+$4,486
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes510¢0.7¢$0.33+$0.33$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes60.4¢0.2¢$0.01−$0.01+$905
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes2.70M0.1¢0¢$0−$2,703−$17
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes6860.6¢0¢$0−$4.12$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?Yes3131¢0¢$0−$3.13$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.9¢6,804$6165%47
BUY YesWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?98.5¢8,918$8,78565%47
SELL NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?34¢810$27565%47
SELL YesWill the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?0.4¢36.8k$14765%47
SELL YesWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?0.6¢2,860$1765%47
SELL YesWill the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?0.8¢10.0k$8065%47
SELL YesWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.4¢32.6k$13065%47
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?76¢5,000$3,80065%47
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?71.8¢35$2565%47
SELL NoWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?58.2¢768$44765%47
SELL YesWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?24.8¢16.3k$4,03065%47
SELL YesWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?25.3¢10.6k$2,67165%47
SELL YesWill France vs. England end in a draw?20¢7,848$1,57065%47
BUY YesWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.1¢44.1k$4465%47
SELL YesWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.4¢1,175$4.7065%47
SELL YesWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.6¢46.1k$27665%47
SELL YesWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.5¢18.0k$9065%47
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?46¢297$13665%47
SELL YesWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?21.8¢15.0k$3,26265%47
SELL NoWill England win on 2026-07-11?46.8¢11$5.0665%47