PnL all-time−$1,503vol $60.2k
PnL 30d+$326gains $1,203 · losses $178
PnL 7d+$326win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate36.1%adj 39.1% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$121cash n/a
Positions32 / 104open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,315below peak −$1,320Oct 15
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 36.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yesclosed+$702US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$119Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yesclosed+$88Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yesclosed+$75Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Downclosed+$69
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? · Yesclosed−$589Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? · Yesclosed−$175Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? · Yesclosed−$143Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yesclosed−$114Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET · Upclosed−$107
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | Yes | 680 | 13.4¢ | 11.8¢ | $80 | −$11 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | No | 337 | 5.9¢ | 4.2¢ | $14 | −$5.83 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | No | 604 | 2.5¢ | 2.3¢ | $14 | −$1.42 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 938 | 1.6¢ | 1.4¢ | $13 | −$2.34 | $0 |
Recent trades
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