PnL all-time−$137kvol $19.8M
PnL 30d+$8,478gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$700win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.8%adj 69.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$45.2kcash n/a
Positions10 / 487open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.2%of equity peak
Account age4.5ylast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$119kbelow peak −$2,830Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.8% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed+$107kOver $250M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yesclosed+$20.2kWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$17.0kWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen+$14.4kWill Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1? · Noclosed+$10.2k
Worst markets
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed−$123kWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$69.1kBiden drops out of presidential race? · Noclosed−$52.4kWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? · Democraticclosed−$38.1kWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$29.6k
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 70.5k | 43¢ | 63.5¢ | $44.8k | +$14.4k | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 520 | 66¢ | 90.5¢ | $470 | +$127 | $0 | |
| Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 17.9k | 27.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,939 | $0 | |
| Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 17.0k | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,458 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 10,000 | 83.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,326 | +$427 | |
| Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 3,623 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$362 | $0 | |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 1,424 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$940 | +$107 | |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | No | 1,259 | 48.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$606 | $0 | |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 720 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$252 | $0 | |
| Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 |
Recent trades
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