PnL all-time+$5,324vol $323k
PnL 30d+$3,878gains $1,440 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,417win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate96.0%adj 75.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$110kcash n/a
Positions10 / 35open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$10.4kbelow peak −$2,121Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 96.0% · shrunk toward 50%89
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen+$5,025Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$2,474Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$893US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$358Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$246
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 61.0k | 82.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $55.2k | +$5,025 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 22.0k | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $20.1k | −$110 | $0 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 19.2k | 98.3¢ | 98¢ | $18.8k | −$59 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | No | 5,000 | 93¢ | 93¢ | $4,650 | $0 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 5,000 | 85¢ | 81¢ | $4,050 | −$200 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | Yes | 3,363 | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $3,361 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,439 | 88.1¢ | 96.8¢ | $2,360 | +$212 | +$2,262 | |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 534 | 89¢ | 91.5¢ | $488 | +$13 | +$21 | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 379 | 99.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $376 | +$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 266 | 99.3¢ | 99.3¢ | $264 | $0 | $0 |
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