PnL all-time+$339vol $26.9k
PnL 30d+$411gains $683 · losses $360
PnL 7d+$133win rate 7d 46.7%
Win rate66.4%adj 65.8% · 30d 63.9%
Open value$288cash n/a
Positions12 / 678open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.4%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$498below peak −$71Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 66.4% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? · Noclosed+$109Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? · Yesclosed+$55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Upclosed+$54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Upclosed+$53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET · Downclosed+$48
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1? · Yesclosed−$68Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17? · Noclosed−$56Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10? · Yesclosed−$39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Downclosed−$25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Upclosed−$23
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 13? | No | 236 | 98.5¢ | 98.3¢ | $232 | −$0.65 | $0 | |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 142 | 3.4¢ | 5.1¢ | $7.18 | +$2.39 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 47¢ | 64.5¢ | $6.74 | +$1.83 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | Yes | 7 | 75¢ | 96.8¢ | $6.38 | +$1.44 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10 | 51¢ | 63.5¢ | $6.10 | +$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 13 | 38¢ | 46.3¢ | $6.05 | +$1.08 | $0 | |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 6 | 87¢ | 98.5¢ | $5.62 | +$0.65 | $0 | |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 5 | 95¢ | 96.5¢ | $5.05 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9 | 55¢ | 47.5¢ | $4.24 | −$0.67 | $0 | |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? | Yes | 7 | 68¢ | 47¢ | $3.41 | −$1.53 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 6 | 79¢ | 54.5¢ | $3.41 | −$1.53 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 4 | 70¢ | 41.5¢ | $1.47 | −$1.01 | −$0.72 |
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