PnL all-time+$2,091vol $1.11M
PnL 30d+$1,685gains $1,392 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$120win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate96.2%adj 92.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$130kcash n/a
Positions8 / 244open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,640below peak −$1,913Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 96.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Noclosed+$2,201ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? · Noclosed+$1,648Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Noclosed+$1,186Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? · Noclosed+$1,007Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$997
Worst markets
Will Trump visit China by March 31? · Noclosed−$8,567S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 7? · Downclosed−$5,021Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Noclosed−$4,862Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November? · Noclosed−$3,210Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? · Yesclosed−$2,802
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 52.7k | 95.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $50.4k | +$103 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 50.4k | 96.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $49.1k | +$395 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 13.4k | 98.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $13.2k | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 6,812 | 89.1¢ | 99.4¢ | $6,771 | +$704 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5,288 | 94.5¢ | 96¢ | $5,077 | +$78 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 3,996 | 94.9¢ | 95.7¢ | $3,822 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | No | 1,135 | 87.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,061 | +$70 | $0 | |
| GTA VI released by October 31? | No | 928 | 96¢ | 99.6¢ | $924 | +$33 | $0 |
Recent trades
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