PnL all-time−$11.2kvol $377k
PnL 30d−$176gains $182 · losses $6,299
PnL 7d−$45win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate44.2%adj 44.6% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$994cash n/a
Positions7 / 300open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$11.6kbelow peak −$26.9kOct 11
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 44.2% · shrunk toward 50%12
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$4,259Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · Yesclosed+$4,105Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yesclosed+$2,888Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Yesclosed+$2,526Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20? · Yesclosed+$1,679
Worst markets
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 1,380 | 61¢ | 51¢ | $704 | −$138 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2,506 | 24¢ | 11.5¢ | $288 | −$313 | −$661 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 39 | 3.6¢ | 4.8¢ | $1.83 | +$0.43 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 5,956 | 50.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,991 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? | Yes | 556 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.49 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | Yes | 333 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.94 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | Yes | 313 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$2.10 |
Recent trades
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