sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Mecky

0xa82…5220
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$95.6kvol $12.3M
PnL 30d+$465gains $10.3k · losses $9,417
PnL 7d+$2,492win rate 7d 31.9%
Win rate41.4%adj 41.7% · 30d 42.0%
Open value$55.8kcash n/a
Positions78 / 2,817open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.4%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$93.9kbelow peak −$16.5kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 41.4% · shrunk toward 50%4
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 78

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8,39263.8¢85.7¢$7,188+$1,831+$1,006
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No11.0k67.3¢63.5¢$6,985−$420$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No8,00084.6¢84¢$6,720−$48+$930
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes8,04162.6¢62.5¢$5,026−$13−$20
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No6,00063.1¢63.5¢$3,810+$22$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No2,29073.8¢80.6¢$1,844+$155$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?No3,41440.5¢44.5¢$1,519+$136$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,00051.1¢48.6¢$1,457−$77−$611
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes2,49764.7¢57¢$1,423−$191−$73
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes8,66745.1¢15.5¢$1,343−$2,568+$485
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes2,02566.5¢57.5¢$1,164−$183−$101
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes2,24354.5¢48.5¢$1,088−$136$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No1,39670.9¢71¢$991+$1.40−$53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,50066¢63.5¢$953−$38−$5.95
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2,06437.5¢38.5¢$794+$20$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00073¢73.5¢$735+$5.00−$9.51
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes1,00067¢66.5¢$665−$5.00$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes3,00024.3¢20.5¢$615−$115−$55
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No64769.5¢71.5¢$463+$13$0
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4,00014¢11.5¢$460−$100−$17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes1,10050.6¢37.5¢$413−$144$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes1,50028.7¢27¢$405−$25$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes2,00021.7¢18.5¢$370−$65−$3.00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,40416¢15.1¢$362−$24$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes50071.1¢71.3¢$356+$0.75+$121
Iran leadership change by December 31?No40086¢88.5¢$354+$10+$15
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No50071¢70.5¢$353−$2.50$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes47677.7¢73¢$348−$22$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No40087¢86.5¢$346−$2.00$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes40084¢83.5¢$334−$2.00$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes1,00037¢33¢$330−$40$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No40066¢80.5¢$322+$58$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes50061¢61.5¢$308+$2.50$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes50047¢60.5¢$303+$68$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,66514.3¢17.8¢$297+$59−$339
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes67646.8¢43.7¢$295−$21$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes2,00014¢14.5¢$290+$10.00$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes71465.1¢39.5¢$282−$183−$137
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes30091.1¢93.4¢$280+$6.75$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes1,23030.4¢22.5¢$277−$97−$66
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes5,0007¢5.5¢$275−$75$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?Yes50023¢51¢$255+$140+$58
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?No39734¢60.5¢$240+$105$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No1,50060.3¢15.5¢$232−$672+$163
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?No33346.3¢67¢$223+$69$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No50043¢44.5¢$223+$7.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes50044¢44.5¢$223+$2.50$0
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes50053¢41.5¢$208−$58$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No50033¢38.5¢$193+$28$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes19285.5¢87.5¢$168+$3.74+$484
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes1,00017.5¢15.5¢$155−$20$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes5,0003.9¢2.9¢$143−$53$0
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,4579.4¢9.8¢$142+$5.47$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes1,30013.6¢9.5¢$124−$53$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No20058¢57.5¢$115−$1.00$0
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxCleveland Guardians20052¢51.5¢$103−$1.00$0
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,7094.6¢5.9¢$100+$21$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes1,10016.4¢9¢$99−$81$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes50020¢19.5¢$98−$2.50$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes16262.6¢57.8¢$94−$7.87$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes1,00015¢8.5¢$85−$65$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No13274.7¢57.6¢$76−$23$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes5008¢8.5¢$43+$2.50$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes5007.9¢7.9¢$39−$0.25$0
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3,0001.3¢1.2¢$35−$4.50$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes7537¢43.5¢$32+$4.85$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Yes10037¢28.5¢$29−$8.50$0
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Yes3507.8¢7.9¢$28+$0.42$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes3280¢81.5¢$26+$0.48$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes5007¢5¢$25−$10.00−$30
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes1,0002¢2.2¢$22+$2.00$0
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?No3342¢50.5¢$17+$2.84$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1872¢60¢$11−$2.18$0
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes2,0000.7¢0.4¢$8.00−$6.00$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes964.9¢77.5¢$6.72+$1.09+$673
Falcons vs. SaintsSaints40053¢0¢$0−$212$0
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)Saints20056¢0¢$0−$112$0
Spread: Saints (-2.5)Saints15046¢0¢$0−$69$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?20¢277$5541%59
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?20¢1,000$20041%59
BUY NoWill Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?71¢500$35541%59
SELL YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?53¢100$5341%59
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.5¢150$12741%59
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?5¢200$1041%59
BUY Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox52¢200$10441%59
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?23¢413$9541%59
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?23¢5$1.1541%59
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?42¢528$22241%59
BUY YesWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?9.8¢1,000$9841%59
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?61¢500$30541%59
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?80¢250$20041%59
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢11$8.6341%59
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?84¢500$42041%59
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?84¢500$42041%59
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?66¢500$33041%59
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?10¢200$2041%59
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?70¢500$35041%59
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢500$42541%59