PnL all-time−$367vol $379k
PnL 30d+$91gains $3,356 · losses $1,580
PnL 7d−$378win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.5%adj 62.2% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$1,358cash n/a
Positions8 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−78.7%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,326below peak −$1,428Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 76.5% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity21
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yesclosed+$2,528Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · Yesclosed+$749Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$315Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 24? · Yesclosed+$165Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on August 21? · Yesclosed+$104
Worst markets
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 24-30? · Yesclosed−$1,224Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$1,135Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$820Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yesclosed−$808Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$772
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? | Yes | 1,566 | 63.9¢ | 59.1¢ | $925 | −$76 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4,873 | 20.5¢ | 3.7¢ | $180 | −$820 | $0 | |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026? | No | 547 | 36.5¢ | 24¢ | $131 | −$69 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Yes | 421 | 16.6¢ | 28.9¢ | $122 | +$52 | $0 |
Recent trades
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