sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,699

ZhouCD

0xa89…1410
<30d oldSportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,893vol $89.6k
PnL 30d−$3,844gains $1,127 · losses $1,851
PnL 7d−$1,657win rate 7d 56.6%
Win rate56.6%adj 56.4% · 30d 56.6%
Open value$6,473cash n/a
Positions703 / 1,203open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age28dlast trade 14m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,845below peak −$3,844Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.6% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mark Stone record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No25392¢83.5¢$211−$22+$0.81
Will the Florida Panthers record 90+ points?Yes20088¢78¢$156−$20$0
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?No15076.7¢66.1¢$99−$16$0
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?No8170¢69¢$56−$0.84−$9.83
Will the Utah Mammoth make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?No20029¢27¢$54−$4.00$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No8474.1¢63¢$53−$9.36−$7.30
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?No6077¢67¢$40−$6.00$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?No6070¢65¢$39−$3.00−$0.20
Will Kyle Connor record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No6075¢63¢$38−$7.20$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?No4873.7¢75.6¢$36+$0.86$0
Will primmie play for FULL SENSE in 2027?No3863¢92.3¢$35+$11−$2.80
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?No6568.3¢53.5¢$35−$9.66−$4.40
Will Minnesota Vikings advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No6077¢58¢$35−$11$0
Will George Pickens have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6074¢57.5¢$35−$9.90$0
Will Jake Guentzel record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No5071.8¢65¢$33−$3.43+$2.20
Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No6066¢54¢$32−$7.20$0
Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No3778.2¢84.5¢$31+$2.32$0
Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?No4663.5¢67¢$31+$1.62$0
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?American Express8363.5¢37¢$31−$22$0
Will Trump say "Gay" this week?No6063¢50¢$30−$7.80$0
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?No5959.7¢50.5¢$30−$5.42−$0.08
Will Flamengo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?No3078¢98.9¢$30+$6.25$0
Scorigami in Week 11 of the 2026-27 NFL season?No4077.5¢73.5¢$29−$1.60$0
Scorigami in Week 9 of the 2026-27 NFL season?No4077¢72.5¢$29−$1.80$0
Scorigami in Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL season?No4079¢72.5¢$29−$2.60$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?No5671.3¢51.5¢$29−$11−$0.65
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?No4571.8¢64¢$29−$3.51$0
Will Cole Caufield record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No4053.5¢71¢$28+$7.00$0
Will Buffalo Bills advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No4077¢69.5¢$28−$3.00$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?No5055¢55.5¢$28+$0.25−$2.50
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?No4260.4¢65¢$27+$1.92−$7.22
Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4075¢65.5¢$26−$3.80$0
Will Connor McDavid record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No5070.1¢52¢$26−$9.10$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?No2933.8¢85.5¢$25+$15+$3.24
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?No4080¢62.5¢$25−$7.00$0
Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?No4076.5¢62.5¢$25−$5.60$0
Will Trump say "Chicken" in October?No5070¢49.5¢$25−$10$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?No6056.3¢40.5¢$24−$9.50$0
Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?No4068¢59.5¢$24−$3.40−$3.80
Will Omarion Hampton have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No3480¢69¢$23−$3.74−$1.80
Will Sam Darnold have 26.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4063.3¢58.5¢$23−$1.93−$2.67
Will Indiana Pacers advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4075¢58.5¢$23−$6.60$0
Will Tina Pisnik reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No5345.7¢43.5¢$23−$1.19$0
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?No4058¢56.5¢$23−$0.60−$1.60
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes5049¢44.5¢$22−$2.25$0
Will Malik Willis have 14.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4075¢55.5¢$22−$7.80$0
Will David Montgomery have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4072¢54.5¢$22−$7.00−$2.40
Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2027?No6057.5¢36¢$22−$13$0
Will CeeDee Lamb finish as a top-5 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?No6043.3¢35.5¢$21−$4.70$0
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?No4561.6¢46.5¢$21−$6.77$0
Will Auston Matthews record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No4063¢52¢$21−$4.40$0
Will Tage Thompson record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No4060¢52¢$21−$3.20$0
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?No5065¢41.5¢$21−$12$0
Will Filip Gustavsson record 4+ shutouts?No3275¢65.5¢$21−$3.00−$4.07
Will Kansas City Chiefs advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No3676.7¢57¢$20−$7.02$0
Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?Yes5057¢40.5¢$20−$8.25$0
Will Ashton Jeanty have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2970.2¢70.5¢$20+$0.08−$4.04
Lai Ching-te visits US by June 30?No2875.5¢70.5¢$20−$1.40−$3.06
Will Trump say "Pig" or "Piggy" this week?No3080¢64¢$19−$4.80$0
Will Nazem Kadri record 100+ points?No2095¢95.2¢$19+$0.03$0
Will George Kittle have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2579.2¢75.5¢$19−$0.93−$3.90
Will 2 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?No2078¢94¢$19+$3.20$0
Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2026?No3965.1¢48¢$19−$6.66$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000?No2578¢74.5¢$19−$0.88−$5.60
Will Anze Kopitar record 100+ points?Yes1,2002¢1.6¢$19−$5.40$0
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?No2083¢92.9¢$19+$1.97$0
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?No2075¢92.5¢$19+$3.50$0
Will Jayden Reed have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2078¢92.5¢$18+$2.90$0
Will the Washington Capitals record 100+ points?No4075¢46¢$18−$12$0
Will Isaiah Likely finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?No2075¢89.5¢$18+$2.90$0
Will William Nylander record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No2070¢89.5¢$18+$3.90$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No4049.8¢44.5¢$18−$2.13+$1.96
Will Pavel Dorofeyev record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No2080¢88.5¢$18+$1.70$0
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs record 100+ points?No2073¢88¢$18+$3.00$0
Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?No3376.4¢52¢$17−$8.13−$2.00
Will Dallas Cowboys advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No2079¢86.5¢$17+$1.50$0
Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2027?No3064¢57.5¢$17−$1.95$0
Will Elias Pettersson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?No2075¢86¢$17+$2.20$0
Will Derrick Henry have 16.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No6055.3¢28.5¢$17−$16$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?No2074¢85.5¢$17+$2.30$0
Will Steven Stamkos record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No2080¢85.5¢$17+$1.10$0
Will the Minnesota Wild record 110+ points?No2080¢85.5¢$17+$1.10$0
Will the median home value in Miami be between $767,000 and $788,000 on December 31?No2080¢85.5¢$17+$1.10$0
Will Zalaegerszegi TE be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?No2075¢85¢$17+$2.00$0
Will Joey Daccord record 4+ shutouts?No2076¢85¢$17+$1.80$0
Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 110+ points?No2075¢84.5¢$17+$1.90$0
Will Davante Adams have 1,174.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2076¢84.5¢$17+$1.70$0
Will Darcy Kuemper record 4+ shutouts?No2075¢84.5¢$17+$1.90$0
Will Chase Brown have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4055¢42¢$17−$5.20−$2.00
Will Terry McLaurin have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2076¢84¢$17+$1.60$0
Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No2080¢84¢$17+$0.80$0
Will David Pastrnak record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No2075¢84¢$17+$1.80$0
Will Tama Shimabukuro qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No2075¢83.5¢$17+$1.70$0
Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?No5769.6¢29.5¢$17−$23−$3.69
Will Drake Maye have 3,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2070¢83¢$17+$2.60$0
Will Saquon Barkley have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2075¢83¢$17+$1.60$0
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by 4%-7%?No2080¢83¢$17+$0.60−$6.00
Will Aaron Jones have 824.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No5052¢33.5¢$17−$9.16$0
Will the St. Louis Blues record 100+ points?No2079¢82.5¢$17+$0.70$0
Will Vikings D/ST be the highest-scoring D/ST of the 2026-27 NFL season?No1974.9¢85.8¢$16+$2.06$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Nashville, TN face tornado risk on October 10?96¢170$16357%35
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?95.2¢4,000$3,80957%35
SELL YesWill Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?18¢6,000$1,08057%35
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?89.7¢1,700$1,52457%35
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?9.1¢2,000$18257%35
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?94¢1,220$1,14757%35
BUY NoWill Carlos Frenk win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?99¢77$7657%35
BUY NoWill Allan MacDonald win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?99¢75$7557%35
SELL NoWill Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 4?99.1¢300$29757%35
SELL NoWill Houston, TX face tornado risk on October 4?99.1¢300$29757%35
SELL NoWill San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 4?99.1¢300$29757%35
SELL NoWill Fort Worth, TX face tornado risk on October 4?99.1¢300$29757%35
BUY NoWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?11¢59$6.5357%35
SELL YesWill Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?31¢3,858$1,19657%35
SELL YesWill Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?35¢142$5057%35
SELL YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?35¢3,426$1,19957%35
SELL YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?52¢2,375$1,23557%35
SELL NoWill the Toronto Maple Leafs make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?45¢200$9057%35
SELL NoWill Mark Stone record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?94¢47$4457%35
SELL NoWill John Tavares record 100+ points?90¢61$5557%35