PnL all-time+$237kvol $67.6M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.0%adj 76.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions3 / 67open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.1%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$237kbelow peak −$118Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 85.0% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$39.9kNetanyahu out by March 31? · Noclosed+$35.1kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$34.9kTrump out as President by April 30? · Noclosed+$20.0kUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Noclosed+$18.4k
Worst markets
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · Noopen−$3,449Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,372Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yesclosed−$858Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yesclosed−$534Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$406
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | No | 67.4k | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,449 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,853 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.23 | −$0.21 | |
| Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to Score | No | 275 | 75¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$206 | −$1.55 |
Recent trades
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