sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,226

anciano

0xa8b…ee3c
WhalePnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$24.5kvol $24.2M
PnL 30d−$13.6kgains $36.8k · losses $39.2k
PnL 7d+$4,891win rate 7d 55.7%
Win rate49.2%adj 49.2% · 30d 51.9%
Open value$154kcash n/a
Positions693 / 3,979open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.1%of equity peak
Account age4.9ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$129kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 49.2% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes5,16538.9¢62.5¢$3,228+$1,221+$1,186
Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No6,19036¢41.5¢$2,569+$338+$124
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes11.9k9.4¢18.5¢$2,196+$1,079$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No3,11171.4¢70.5¢$2,193−$27−$43
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?No5,1995.5¢38.1¢$1,978+$1,694+$5.53
Will Philadelphia Flyers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?No1,93094¢97.5¢$1,881+$66+$29
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No2,57172.2¢71.5¢$1,838−$19+$3.85
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No2,13669.4¢83.5¢$1,784+$301+$6.70
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No2,28778.8¢77.5¢$1,772−$29+$786
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?Yes1,91393.4¢92.5¢$1,769−$17$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes7,51710.4¢22.5¢$1,691+$908+$709
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?Yes1,67993¢97.9¢$1,643+$82$0
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?No1,66895.2¢97.4¢$1,624+$37−$50
Will the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes3,18446.9¢49.5¢$1,576+$82+$11
Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Yes8,99012.5¢17.5¢$1,573+$452+$110
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes3,72429.4¢39.1¢$1,454+$358+$114
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes10.4k2.3¢13.5¢$1,409+$1,167$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes2,90044.1¢44.5¢$1,291+$12−$2.47
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-06 House seat?Yes1,32193.7¢97.2¢$1,283+$45+$23
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes10.1k5.1¢12.5¢$1,257+$742+$334
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes5,9975.8¢19.5¢$1,169+$824+$466
Will the Denver Nuggets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes1,32482.8¢85.5¢$1,132+$36$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1,50072.1¢71.5¢$1,073−$9.14−$43
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No1,30079.5¢82¢$1,066+$33−$149
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?Yes1,10692.8¢94.5¢$1,045+$19$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-16 House seat?Yes1,04395¢97.4¢$1,015+$25+$2.67
Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?No1,23980¢81.5¢$1,009+$19−$72
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?Yes1,04294.4¢95.8¢$998+$15+$1.20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo1,00099.1¢99.2¢$992+$0.50−$915
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?No1,20279.5¢80.5¢$968+$12+$113
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?Yes97194¢96.4¢$936+$23+$0.64
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes2,41319.4¢38.2¢$921+$453+$647
Will there be 7+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes1,61549.4¢56.5¢$912+$114+$24
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No1,01090¢89.5¢$904−$5.45+$41
Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?Yes93893.9¢96.2¢$903+$22+$3.62
Will the Patriots win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No1,24776.6¢71.5¢$891−$64−$48
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?No1,27174.1¢67.5¢$858−$84+$4.99
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?Yes90394¢94.7¢$855+$5.94+$1.85
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes4,7206.9¢18¢$850+$524+$26
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?Yes3,02631.4¢26.5¢$802−$149+$35
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?Yes83694.2¢94.8¢$792+$4.42+$0.28
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes5,36911.7¢14.5¢$779+$151+$77
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?Yes80095¢95.5¢$764+$4.00$0
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?Yes2,78236.1¢27¢$751−$253+$0.65
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?No76095¢98.6¢$749+$27−$0.06
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No1,27361¢57.5¢$732−$45−$8.51
Will the Republican Party win the CA-51 House seat?No73794.4¢98.1¢$723+$27+$0.28
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No75594.3¢95.6¢$722+$9.97−$1.10
Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?No73093.7¢98.5¢$719+$35+$0.90
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes4,21314.5¢17¢$716+$105+$138
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Yes74295.2¢95.6¢$710+$3.27+$5.49
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes99180¢71.5¢$709−$84−$0.73
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Yes73094¢96.2¢$702+$16+$1.10
Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No78094.4¢87.9¢$686−$51+$20
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,97939.1¢34.5¢$683−$91+$50
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No1,10059.3¢61.5¢$677+$24+$198
Will San Jose Sharks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?No74890.3¢89.3¢$668−$7.52+$5.00
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?No68095¢97.7¢$664+$18−$0.04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No85362.5¢77.5¢$661+$128−$5.84
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes8,7876.2¢7.5¢$659+$117+$1,421
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?Yes1,58422.8¢41.5¢$657+$297+$145
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes1,29851.8¢50.5¢$655−$17−$11
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No69735.8¢93¢$648+$398+$95
Will there be 8+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes1,58032.9¢40.5¢$640+$120+$7.37
Will the Republican Party win the MD-05 House seat?No65094.2¢97.1¢$631+$19+$1.01
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Yes64789¢97.5¢$631+$55+$142
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes2,9792.5¢21.1¢$629+$554+$361
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00064¢62.5¢$625−$15+$2,815
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,07521.8¢57.5¢$618+$383−$150
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00059.5¢61.5¢$615+$20+$69
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes4,2322.3¢14.5¢$614+$515+$887
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?No69890.5¢87.9¢$613−$18+$0.07
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?Yes61693.2¢96.2¢$592+$18+$7.03
Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?No60894.3¢97.2¢$591+$17+$1.45
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?Yes60294¢97.4¢$586+$20$0
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 17+ innings?No60790.8¢95.5¢$580+$29+$0.31
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?No1,03555¢55.5¢$575+$5.45−$2.73
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?No75680.7¢75.9¢$574−$37+$2.71
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes8,3445.9¢6.8¢$563+$67+$0.83
Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?No60091.8¢93.9¢$563+$12+$1.02
Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat?No58094.9¢96.5¢$559+$9.00+$0.74
Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No58986.5¢93.5¢$551+$41+$4.90
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No86659.3¢63.5¢$550+$36+$303
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?No61291¢89.5¢$548−$9.18+$6.88
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Yes56091.8¢97¢$543+$29+$82
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,10050.8¢48.6¢$534−$24+$311
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes11.8k2.7¢4.5¢$530+$214+$2.21
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes60680.2¢86.5¢$524+$38−$18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes61523¢84.5¢$519+$378$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No89667.1¢56.5¢$506−$95+$55
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No55090.1¢90.5¢$498+$2.35$0
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?No53093.3¢93.5¢$496+$0.94+$8.12
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes64070.5¢77¢$493+$42$0
Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes6,5375.8¢7.5¢$490+$111+$37
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes59378.6¢82.5¢$490+$23+$3.55
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-05 House seat?No49794.6¢98.5¢$490+$20+$1.77
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes50990¢95.8¢$488+$29−$55
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?Yes50430.4¢95.6¢$482+$329$0
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No69266.2¢68.5¢$474+$16+$0.13
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?No48896.1¢96.6¢$472+$2.44+$8.75

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?3.2¢130$4.1549%65
SELL YesWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?3.7¢780$2949%65
BUY NoWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?94.8¢16$1549%65
SELL YesWill Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?0.1¢430$0.4349%65
SELL YesWill Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?0.1¢430$0.4349%65
SELL YesWill Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?0.1¢430$0.4349%65
SELL YesWill Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?0.2¢430$0.8649%65
SELL YesWill Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?0.2¢430$0.8649%65
SELL YesWill Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?0.2¢430$0.8649%65
SELL YesWill Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?0.9¢385$3.4749%65
SELL YesWill Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?1.8¢424$7.6349%65
SELL YesWill Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?2.1¢430$9.0249%65
BUY NoWill there be 5+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?99.8¢55$5549%65
BUY NoWill there be 7+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?97.4¢42$4149%65
BUY NoWill there be 8+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?97.7¢25$2549%65
BUY NoWill there be 6+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?94¢80$7549%65
SELL YesWill there be 3+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?52¢20$1049%65
SELL YesWill there be 2+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?88¢21$1849%65
BUY NoWill the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 16+ innings?94¢50$4749%65
BUY NoWill the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 14+ innings?81¢400$32449%65