sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,091

chicanery.

0xa8c…b635
OtherPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,857vol $52.9k
PnL 30d+$2,196gains $4,148 · losses $1,996
PnL 7d+$423win rate 7d 78.9%
Win rate58.8%adj 56.8% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$7,795cash n/a
Positions22 / 90open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.8%of equity peak
Account age35dlast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,756below peak −$193Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 58.8% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Upclosed+$839Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$820Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yesclosed+$760Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$627Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$180

Worst markets

T20 Series Japan vs Malaysia, Women: Japan vs Malaysia · Japanclosed−$924Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$627Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · Yesclosed−$235Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$215Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Noopen−$198

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2,25050¢77.9¢$1,752+$627$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,02567.9¢70.6¢$1,429+$54$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?No75865.8¢71.8¢$544+$45$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,25050¢22.2¢$498−$627$0
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No1,26453.7¢38¢$480−$198$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No55067.2¢66.3¢$364−$5.22$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No40083¢80.5¢$322−$10$0
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No48064.5¢65.5¢$314+$4.90$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No41268.2¢73.5¢$303+$22$0
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes1,44811.6¢19.5¢$282+$114$0
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No29076.6¢92.6¢$268+$46$0
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes28283¢91.9¢$259+$25$0
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No40055¢55.5¢$222+$2.00$0
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No19967.9¢82.5¢$164+$29$0
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?No28836.6¢46.1¢$133+$27$0
Will UnitedHealth (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?Yes14584.4¢82¢$119−$3.45$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes60046.5¢19.5¢$117−$162$0
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes60522.9¢15¢$91−$48$0
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No22566¢26.5¢$60−$89$0
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No10065.4¢56.9¢$57−$8.53$0
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes1377¢85.5¢$11+$1.07$0
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?No5012¢12¢$6.00$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesGemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?99¢184$18259%47
BUY YesGemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?98.9¢118$11659%47
BUY YesGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?98.6¢243$24059%47
BUY YesGemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?97.8¢50$4959%47
SELL NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?71.7¢468$33659%47
SELL NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?87¢40$3559%47
SELL NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?72.3¢90$6559%47
BUY NoWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?13.9¢308$4359%47
BUY NoNo one announced as next James Bond?67.2¢550$37059%47
SELL YesWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?34.3¢205$7059%47
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?66.3¢90$6059%47
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?68.2¢412$28159%47
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?65.8¢758$49959%47
BUY YesGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?78.3¢300$23559%47
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?76¢40$3059%47
SELL NoGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?15¢180$2759%47
SELL NoWill Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?75¢120$9059%47
BUY NoWill Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?56.7¢30$1759%47
SELL YesGemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?94¢506$47659%47
BUY YesGemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?88¢373$32859%47