sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,209

windscreenwipers

0xa8f…e544
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,686vol $1.97M
PnL 30d+$2,268gains $22.0k · losses $115
PnL 7d+$344win rate 7d 98.0%
Win rate97.4%adj 95.5% · 30d 95.9%
Open value$8,618cash n/a
Positions785 / 7,614open / all-time
Max drawdown−80.4%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,309below peak −$3,888Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 97.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity20

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes1,36548.6¢69.5¢$948+$285$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes1,32050.3¢61.5¢$812+$147$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,05547.7¢61.5¢$649+$146$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1,00025.2¢38.5¢$385+$133$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes60042¢62.5¢$375+$123$0
Blue wave in 2026?Yes34572.3¢86.5¢$298+$49$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No31580¢90.5¢$285+$33$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes65538.4¢43.5¢$285+$33$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No43058.5¢51.6¢$222−$30$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes59017¢37.5¢$221+$121$0
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?No20088¢99.4¢$199+$23$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes68037¢28.5¢$194−$58$0
Spread: BYU (-13.5)Iowa State20055¢93.5¢$187+$77$0
Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 45.5Under20046¢91.9¢$184+$92$0
Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?No20083¢90.5¢$181+$15$0
Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes20075¢87.5¢$175+$25$0
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No18657¢88¢$164+$58$0
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes50057¢31.5¢$158−$128$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0002.3¢2.8¢$140+$27$0
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?No20066¢64.5¢$129−$3.00$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes17059¢73.5¢$125+$25$0
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No13169¢84¢$110+$20+$8.91
Texas vs. Oklahoma: O/U 40.5Under20053¢52.5¢$105−$1.00$0
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes26019.4¢40.3¢$105+$54$0
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?No20039.7¢51.5¢$103+$24$0
Spread: Missouri (-3.5)Texas A&M20050¢51.5¢$103+$3.00$0
Spread: Wake Forest (-3.5)NC State20052¢51.5¢$103−$1.00$0
Spread: Florida (-10.5)Florida20051¢50.5¢$101−$1.00$0
Will Myles Garrett finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?No10074¢96.7¢$97+$23$0
Spread: Virginia (-10.5)Syracuse20049¢47.5¢$95−$3.00$0
Will Joe Burrow have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes20033¢44.5¢$89+$23$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No56018¢15.5¢$87−$14$0
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes50010¢15.9¢$79+$29$0
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes20035¢34.5¢$69−$1.00$0
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes20034¢34.5¢$69+$1.00$0
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Yes26538¢23.5¢$62−$38$0
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC10058¢57.5¢$58−$0.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes10050¢53.5¢$54+$3.50$0
Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes20033.3¢26.5¢$53−$14+$2.48
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?No6580¢80.5¢$52+$0.33$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes7072¢73.5¢$51+$1.05$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Yes14036¢36.5¢$51+$0.70$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No56018¢8.5¢$48−$53$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes11544¢38.5¢$44−$6.33$0
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?Yes20027¢20.5¢$41−$13$0
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes5002.5¢7.8¢$39+$26$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes11544¢33.5¢$39−$12$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No10049¢38.5¢$39−$11$0
North Carolina vs. PittsburghNorth Carolina10037¢37.5¢$38+$0.50$0
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?No9056.5¢40.5¢$37−$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes9933¢34.5¢$34+$1.49$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?No1,0005¢3.3¢$33−$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Yes29517¢10.9¢$32−$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No29517¢9.5¢$28−$22$0
Spread: Ohio State (-33.5)Maryland4951¢52¢$25+$0.49$0
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes50012.6¢4.8¢$24−$39$0
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes2004.6¢11¢$22+$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?No11544¢15.5¢$18−$33$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes10038¢17¢$17−$21$0
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,0002¢1.7¢$16−$3.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Yes2299¢6¢$14−$6.86−$6.63
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes5001.4¢2.1¢$10+$3.25$0
Will Dak Prescott have 4,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2131¢26¢$5.46−$1.05$0
Iowa State vs. BYUIowa State10020¢5.4¢$5.35−$15$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes40025.6¢0.1¢$0.40−$102$0
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,0008.3¢0¢$0−$500+$45
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,4002.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,2752.2¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,0002.6¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,7252.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes1,67015¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes1,17021.4¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will DR Congo be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Yes1,1304.4¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8356¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8356¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes8106.2¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes80032¢0¢$0−$256$0
Will Ghana be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Yes7157¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6004.2¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes51549¢0¢$0−$252$0
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5Under51051.9¢0¢$0−$265−$2.43
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No50010¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50010¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4554¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes41012.3¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes40025¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes38513¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?Yes38526¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes38552.7¢0¢$0−$203$0
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes37527¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes36028¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes36028¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Yes36028¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes36014¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes36028¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Yes32015.7¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Ivory Coast be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Yes32015.7¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No31532¢0¢$0−$101$0
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes31516¢0¢$0−$50$0
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceCabo Verde31024.3¢0¢$0−$75−$0.38

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UnderIowa State vs. BYU: O/U 45.546¢200$9297%64
BUY Iowa StateIowa State vs. BYU20¢100$2097%64
BUY Iowa StateSpread: BYU (-13.5)55¢200$11097%64
BUY WashingtonSpread: Washington (-2.5)56¢200$11297%64
BUY UnderIowa vs. Washington: O/U 41.553¢200$10697%64
BUY UnderFlorida State vs. Louisville: O/U 61.553¢100$5397%64
BUY LouisvilleSpread: Louisville (-3.5)52¢69$3697%64
BUY OverCade Otton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.554¢100$5497%64
BUY OverCade Otton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.537¢40$1597%64
BUY UnderCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.556¢200$11297%64
SELL UnderFalcons vs. Saints: O/U 48.553¢200$10697%64
BUY OverChris Olave: Receiving Yards O/U 89.549¢100$4997%64
BUY OverDevaughn Vele: Receiving Yards O/U 49.544¢100$4497%64
BUY UnderJahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 1.549¢100$4997%64
SELL UnderChicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.548¢18$8.6897%64
BUY JetsJets vs. Bears37¢100$3797%64
BUY UnderJonathan Taylor: Rushing Yards O/U 89.552¢29$1597%64
BUY OverTyler Warren: Receptions O/U 5.557¢60$3497%64
BUY UnderStefon Diggs: Receptions O/U 5.553¢100$5397%64
BUY TempleSpread: South Florida (-6.5)54¢200$10897%64