PnL all-time−$14.3kvol $10.5M
PnL 30d−$17.1kgains $333 · losses $3,848
PnL 7d−$2,664win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate62.8%adj 61.1% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$16.9kcash n/a
Positions2 / 137open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$16.3kbelow peak −$28.8kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.8% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$13.8kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$11.5kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yesclosed+$7,161US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yesclosed+$4,396Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yesclosed+$4,267
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesopen−$24.4kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$10.3kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$7,682Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Noclosed−$6,550Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · Noclosed−$4,918
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 96.5k | 18.9¢ | 17.5¢ | $16.9k | −$1,386 | −$23.0k | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 15.0k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | −$151 |
Recent trades
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