sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,133

JolyonAshkettle

0xa92…0dec
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$410vol $167k
PnL 30d−$20gains $24 · losses $48
PnL 7d+$1.49win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate90.7%adj 84.3% · 30d 94.4%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions1 / 113open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 17h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$171below peak −$1,269Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 1

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No5,32325¢0¢$0−$1,331$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.9¢1,512$1,51091%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?99.8¢666$66591%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.5¢161$16091%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢15$1591%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢167$16691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢167$16691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢167$16691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢167$16691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢167$16691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢167$16691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢167$16691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?99.4¢167$16691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 18?99.9¢844$84391%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 18?99.8¢139$13991%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?99.9¢432$43291%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?99.8¢84$8491%44
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?99.9¢1,495$1,49391%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?99.9¢40$4091%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?99.9¢1,458$1,45691%44
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12?99.9¢130$13091%44