sharpside
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TheChange0.2

0xa99…e251
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportWeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$531vol $504k
PnL 30d+$71gains $169 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$49win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate97.1%adj 95.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$104cash n/a
Positions74 / 564open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 22h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$463below peak −$3,332Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 97.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 74

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 12?No10496¢100¢$104+$4.08$0
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?Yes9,1973.3¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes5671.8¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.39
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-09-13?Yes5002¢0¢$0−$10−$0.49
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes39251¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?No34786.6¢0¢$0−$300−$2.01
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?Yes30366¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes2543.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes25040¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes24320.5¢0¢$0−$50$0
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No22289.9¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes21095.3¢0¢$0−$200$0
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets19577¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?Yes18299¢0¢$0−$180$0
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes15564.6¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes13276¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?No12778.7¢0¢$0−$100−$1.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?No12381¢0¢$0−$100−$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or below on June 22?No12381.3¢0¢$0−$100−$0.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?No12083.7¢0¢$0−$100−$0.82
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?Yes11967.1¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes11785.5¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?No11586.6¢0¢$0−$100−$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?No10694.1¢0¢$0−$100−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?No10694.3¢0¢$0−$100−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?No10595¢0¢$0−$100−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?No10595.3¢0¢$0−$100−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?No10496.5¢0¢$0−$100−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?No10199.2¢0¢$0−$100−$0.04
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?Yes1001¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes6531¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?Yes6083¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes6067¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes6084¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes5869.4¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?Yes5375¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-31?Yes4687¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?Yes4687.3¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-01-31?Yes4490¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?No3925.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.37
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Luca NardiTrungelliti3655¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?Yes2969¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes2836¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers2872¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?Yes2775¢0¢$0−$20$0
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben SheltonFritz2677¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?Yes2580¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Clermont Foot 63 vs. Rodez Aveyron Football end in a draw?Yes2483¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes2483¢0¢$0−$20$0
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-InNongshim Red Force2484¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-26?Yes2485¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?Yes2388¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 26?No2193.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp2151.8¢0¢$0−$11$0
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina2195¢0¢$0−$20−$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8?Up2055¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?Yes1954¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes1661¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.12
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes1662¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?Yes1470.8¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina1474¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?Yes1375¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes1377¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes1377¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.07
Will Benin vs. Liberia end in a draw?Yes1379¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?No1280.8¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes1281¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.08
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes1282¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.07
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey BaptisteAryna Sabalenka1286.1¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?No1187.9¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes1190¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.03
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Yes1058¢0¢$0−$5.80$0
Pistons vs. RaptorsPistons769¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?Yes541¢0¢$0−$2.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 12?96¢104$10097%47
BUY MEIA NOITECounter-Strike: ALKA vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs71.8¢8$6.0097%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 10?96.9¢103$10097%47
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 9?99.9¢105$10597%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 9?95.5¢105$10097%47
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 8?99.9¢101$10197%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 8?98.7¢101$10097%47
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 7?99.9¢102$10297%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 7?98.4¢102$10097%47
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 6?99.9¢55$5597%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 6?91.4¢55$5097%47
BUY YesWill Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw?81¢123$10097%47
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 5?99.9¢103$10397%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 5?96.6¢103$10097%47
BUY YesWill IR Tanger vs. Moghreb Athletic Tétouan end in a draw?85¢24$2097%47
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 2?99.9¢103$10397%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 2?97¢103$10097%47
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1?99.9¢110$11097%47
BUY YesWill CS Cienciano vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?87¢11$1097%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1?91¢110$10097%47