PnL all-time+$50.7kvol $15.1M
PnL 30d+$196gains $19.4k · losses $21.7k
PnL 7d+$3,091win rate 7d 38.0%
Win rate33.0%adj 33.7% · 30d 35.6%
Open value$11.9kcash n/a
Positions6 / 2,489open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.5%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 2m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$67.5kbelow peak −$4,675Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 33.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · Noclosed+$5,791US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yesclosed+$4,651Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$2,551US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? · Noclosed+$2,241Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · Yesclosed+$2,100
Worst markets
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Noclosed−$2,688Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2,397Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yesclosed−$1,668Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,514Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yesclosed−$1,376
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 8,263 | 46.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $5,165 | +$1,319 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4,631 | 70.4¢ | 85.7¢ | $3,966 | +$707 | −$223 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3,000 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $2,715 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | No | 3,944 | 4¢ | 0.9¢ | $35 | −$121 | −$0.21 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | No | 1,122 | 2¢ | 0.9¢ | $10 | −$12 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5? | No | 1,506 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$29 |
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