PnL all-time+$1,135vol $281k
PnL 30d+$66gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$169win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.5%adj 52.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,868cash n/a
Positions10 / 285open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$630below peak −$997Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 52.5% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 · Overclosed+$817Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$734Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yesclosed+$563Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces · Southern Illinois Salukisclosed+$387Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference? · Noclosed+$384
Worst markets
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Noclosed−$885Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw? · Noclosed−$855Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show? · Yesclosed−$504Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? · Noclosed−$448Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Noclosed−$387
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 666 | 64¢ | 93.5¢ | $623 | +$196 | +$2.58 | |
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | 881 | 47¢ | 50¢ | $441 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 776 | 74.2¢ | 32.8¢ | $255 | −$321 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 217 | 92.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $216 | +$16 | −$1.68 | |
| ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | 399 | 79¢ | 49¢ | $196 | −$120 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 167 | 68¢ | 59.5¢ | $99 | −$14 | −$56 | |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 855 | 36¢ | 4.5¢ | $38 | −$269 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 4 | 33¢ | 30.5¢ | $1.22 | −$0.10 | +$23 | |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 3 | 8.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.01 | −$0.25 | +$0.44 | |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | O 84.5 | 555 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$194 | $0 |
Recent trades
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