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OldManYellsAtClouds

0xaa3…d346
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$554vol $884k
PnL 30d−$182gains $91 · losses $300
PnL 7d−$238win rate 7d 99.3%
Win rate99.6%adj 97.7% · 30d 99.6%
Open value$2,539cash n/a
Positions21 / 7,966open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.9%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 11m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$633below peak −$297Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 99.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?Yes15099.8¢100¢$150+$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 11?No15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?Yes15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 11?No15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 11?Yes15099.8¢100¢$150+$0.21$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 11?Yes15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 11?No15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?Yes15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 11?No15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11?Yes15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.13$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 11?Yes15099.9¢99.9¢$150$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?Yes15099.9¢99.9¢$150$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 11?No15099.9¢100¢$150+$0.07$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 11?No13399.9¢99.8¢$133−$0.13$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?No10699.9¢100¢$106+$0.05$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 11?No9499.9¢100¢$94+$0.05$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?No7599.9¢99.7¢$75−$0.19$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?No7599.6¢99.6¢$75$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 11?Yes6099.9¢100¢$60+$0.03$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?Yes4599.9¢99.9¢$45−$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11?No399.9¢100¢$2.53$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 11?99.9¢41$41100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 11?99.9¢122$122100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 11?99.9¢150$150100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 11?99.9¢150$150100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11?99.9¢96$96100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?99.8¢25$25100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 11?99.9¢96$96100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 11?99.9¢150$150100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?99.9¢150$150100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11?99.8¢53$53100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 11?99.9¢60$60100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?99.9¢75$75100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 11?99.9¢150$150100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?99.9¢90$90100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?99.5¢50$50100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 11?99.9¢20$20100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 11?99.9¢150$150100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 11?99.9¢94$94100%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11?99.9¢3$2.53100%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 11?99.8¢107$107100%73Sharp