PnL all-time−$2,182vol $255k
PnL 30d+$31gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$19win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.4%adj 50.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$570cash n/a
Positions7 / 273open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,204below peak −$3,769Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.4% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo? · Yesclosed+$724Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yesclosed+$506Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score · Yesclosed+$487Will two people dissent the March Fed decision? · Noclosed+$454US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5 · Overclosed+$448
Worst markets
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? · Noclosed−$1,088Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026? · Yesclosed−$973Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Noclosed−$641Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels · Campbell Fighting Camelsclosed−$608Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score · Noclosed−$594
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | No | 527 | 18.5¢ | 50.8¢ | $268 | +$170 | $0 | |
| Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? | No | 249 | 56¢ | 100¢ | $249 | +$110 | −$63 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 589 | 38¢ | 6.5¢ | $38 | −$186 | $0 | |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | Yes | 25 | 78.1¢ | 49.2¢ | $12 | −$7.22 | $0 | |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 4 | 54¢ | 79¢ | $3.16 | +$1.00 | −$4.48 | |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 59 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? | Yes | 43 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s