| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 4,000 | 66¢ | 64.5¢ | $2,580 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 2,581 | 89.3¢ | 94.2¢ | $2,431 | +$126 | +$230 | |
| Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 1,957 | 88.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,869 | +$137 | +$158 | |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,300 | 30.8¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,691 | +$982 | +$103 | |
| Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 1,729 | 85.5¢ | 97¢ | $1,676 | +$198 | $0 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,905 | 68.7¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,476 | +$168 | $0 | |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,698 | 65.4¢ | 83¢ | $1,409 | +$299 | $0 | |
| OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026? | No | 1,531 | 71.8¢ | 88¢ | $1,347 | +$248 | +$14 | |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | No | 1,937 | 70.4¢ | 64.6¢ | $1,253 | −$112 | $0 | |
| Will Dickens Cheung win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | No | 1,172 | 75.7¢ | 98.8¢ | $1,158 | +$270 | $0 | |
| Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 1,051 | 86.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $1,010 | +$96 | +$8.90 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | No | 2,736 | 38.9¢ | 33.5¢ | $917 | −$149 | $0 | |
| U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027? | No | 1,234 | 68.1¢ | 71.4¢ | $881 | +$40 | +$14 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 44¢ | 42.5¢ | $850 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 79¢ | 82.5¢ | $825 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 1,323 | 50¢ | 59.3¢ | $784 | +$122 | $0 | |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? | No | 820 | 79.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $783 | +$131 | $0 | |
| Will Milan Majerský win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 861 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $749 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 904 | 73.1¢ | 81.5¢ | $737 | +$76 | $0 | |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 839 | 79.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $675 | +$8.54 | $0 | |
| Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? | No | 799 | 77.3¢ | 83.9¢ | $670 | +$52 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | No | 673 | 62.2¢ | 91.4¢ | $615 | +$196 | −$240 | |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | No | 600 | 56.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $531 | +$191 | $0 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election? | No | 697 | 53.7¢ | 67¢ | $467 | +$93 | $0 | |
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 467 | 83¢ | 96.9¢ | $452 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 498 | 80.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $446 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 888 | 38.3¢ | 47.5¢ | $422 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 634 | 50.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $390 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | No | 401 | 75¢ | 78¢ | $313 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? | No | 281 | 78.6¢ | 99.4¢ | $279 | +$58 | $0 | |
| UBS announces move out of Switzerland by June 30, 2027? | No | 340 | 70¢ | 72.5¢ | $247 | +$8.50 | $0 | |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 238 | 76¢ | 93¢ | $222 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? | No | 233 | 57¢ | 92.5¢ | $215 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | Yes | 1,128 | 34.9¢ | 18.5¢ | $209 | −$185 | $0 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | Yes | 697 | 37¢ | 28.5¢ | $199 | −$59 | −$91 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 945 | 20¢ | 20.5¢ | $194 | +$4.73 | $0 | |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | No | 198 | 70.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $193 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 890 | 37.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $191 | −$142 | $0 | |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | No | 721 | 50.7¢ | 25.5¢ | $184 | −$182 | $0 | |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | Yes | 600 | 31¢ | 30.5¢ | $183 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | Yes | 231 | 27.6¢ | 77.5¢ | $179 | +$115 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 400 | 42¢ | 40.5¢ | $162 | −$6.00 | −$136 | |
| Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026? | No | 160 | 58.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $132 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 129 | 86.1¢ | 98.6¢ | $127 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election? | No | 121 | 79.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $108 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 18.9¢ | 3.2¢ | $95 | −$474 | $0 | |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 22¢ | 10.5¢ | $84 | −$92 | $0 | |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31? | Yes | 143 | 55.7¢ | 58.5¢ | $84 | +$4.02 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? | No | 65 | 30¢ | 51.5¢ | $33 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Chud the Builder convicted? | Yes | 67 | 38¢ | 45¢ | $30 | +$4.67 | $0 | |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | Yes | 25 | 79¢ | 86.4¢ | $22 | +$1.84 | $0 | |
| Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | 60¢ | 90.5¢ | $18 | +$6.10 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 32 | 32¢ | 54.5¢ | $18 | +$7.25 | $0 | |
| California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition | No | 20 | 25¢ | 60.5¢ | $12 | +$7.10 | $0 | |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 5 | 57¢ | 99.9¢ | $4.99 | +$2.14 | $0 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | Yes | 47.2k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$582 | −$30 | |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 15.0k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$145 | $0 | |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? | Yes | 6,580 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | No | 3,500 | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$371 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3,467 | 14.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$503 | +$3.73 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Yes | 2,200 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$178 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | Yes | 2,085 | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$228 | $0 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 2,000 | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$158 | −$7.27 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | Yes | 2,000 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$320 | −$11 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Yes | 2,000 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$280 | −$8.19 | |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29? | Yes | 2,000 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | No | 1,983 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 1,950 | 37¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$722 | −$98 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | 1,916 | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$533 | −$199 | |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,712 | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$266 | −$6.59 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Yes | 1,700 | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74 | +$50 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Yes | 1,664 | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$262 | +$130 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? | No | 1,386 | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$245 | $0 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7? | No | 1,200 | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$152 | $0 | |
| Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | No | 1,200 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 17.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$192 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 74.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$743 | +$31 | |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | No | 1,000 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$390 | +$110 | |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks? | No | 1,000 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? | No | 1,000 | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$87 | $0 | |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Yes | 1,000 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | +$31 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Trump weaponization fund blocked by June 30? | No | 1,000 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$340 | $0 | |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 1,000 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$320 | +$20 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$160 | +$212 | |
| Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | Yes | 990 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$89 | −$3.24 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9? | Yes | 956 | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$149 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | Yes | 846 | 17.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | −$147 | |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | 802 | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | +$321 | |
| Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | No | 800 | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$396 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 785 | 29.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$230 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026? | Yes | 769 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.62 | −$0.34 | |
| Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30? | Yes | 737 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$228 | $0 | |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? | Yes | 651 | 29.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$190 | −$6.74 | |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 631 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$252 | +$0.74 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? | No | 600 | 87.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$524 | $0 | |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | No | 600 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$348 | $0 | |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | Yes | 600 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$144 | −$4.38 | |
