sharpside
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Traders/Rank #16,428

Grodan

0xaa9…0df3
1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,167vol $2.17M
PnL 30d−$558gains $675 · losses $436
PnL 7d+$182win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate44.4%adj 44.7% · 30d 40.0%
Open value$2,192cash n/a
Positions34 / 415open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 27m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,064below peak −$1,136Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 44.4% · shrunk toward 50%12
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yesopen+$429Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$351Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? · Noclosed+$337Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? · Yesclosed+$296Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$227

Worst markets

Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday? · Noclosed−$341Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15? · Yesclosed−$340Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? · Noclosed−$301Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31? · Noclosed−$258Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$252

Open positions · 34

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes11.7k17.3¢15.3¢$1,782−$246+$674
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes1,30015.7¢13.5¢$176−$28−$213
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No90022¢19.5¢$175−$22−$16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes20021.5¢14.5¢$29−$14$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10016.5¢14.8¢$15−$1.75$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes5322.3¢22.5¢$12+$0.08+$38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes10013¢3.8¢$3.80−$9.20$0
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No7,4283.3¢0¢$0−$243−$8.98
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No3,9005.3¢0¢$0−$208−$0.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No3,2181.3¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes1,9011.8¢0¢$0−$34−$0.78
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,8700.2¢0¢$0−$4.02−$0.09
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes1,51514.8¢0¢$0−$224−$2.84
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes1,1000.9¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No87317.1¢0¢$0−$150−$0.38
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No8001¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No74120.3¢0¢$0−$151−$1.25
Will France win on 2026-06-30?No60010.9¢0¢$0−$65−$0.34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes5000.8¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.20
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes4310.8¢0¢$0−$3.40$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes3974.5¢0¢$0−$18+$13
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes3922.8¢0¢$0−$11+$8.30
Will Sweden win the World Cup?Yes3730.2¢0¢$0−$0.80$0
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?No33661¢0¢$0−$205$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No33415¢0¢$0−$50+$4.25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes20051¢0¢$0−$102$0
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?Yes20039¢0¢$0−$78$0
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?No20044.5¢0¢$0−$89$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No10041¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10038.5¢0¢$0−$38−$1.18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes10035¢0¢$0−$35$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes5027¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes530¢0¢$0−$1.50−$0.03
Will Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes15¢0¢$0−$0.05$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.4¢264$4144%32
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?23¢588$13544%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.7¢100$1644%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.7¢106$1744%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15¢105$1644%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?13.2¢31$4.0744%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.5¢106$1644%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.4¢100$1544%32
BUY NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?19¢133$2544%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.4¢57$8.8144%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.4¢105$1644%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.4¢105$1644%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.4¢381$5944%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.1¢427$6444%32
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?17¢2,900$49344%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?16.1¢30$4.8344%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.9¢120$1944%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.8¢202$3244%32
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?17.3¢144$2544%32
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?18¢100$1844%32