Traders/Rank #5,171

0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986cw

0xaaa…746a

SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Crypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$2,754vol $5.40M

PnL 30d+$269gains $408 · losses $2.28

PnL 7d+$268win rate 7d 88.7%

Win rate84.5%adj 83.1% · 30d 82.8%

Open value$2,709cash n/a

Positions612 / 10,738open / all-time

Max drawdown−7.6%of equity peak

Account age7molast trade 43m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,024below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49

Adjusted win rateraw 84.5% · shrunk toward 50%100

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Upclosed+$35 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Upclosed+$22 Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8AM ET · Downclosed+$15 Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 6PM ET · Downclosed+$13 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8AM ET · Upclosed+$8.74

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Downopen−$8.82 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Downopen−$8.82 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Upopen−$8.82 Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Noopen−$8.08 Donte Layne vs. Keithland King · Donte Layneopen−$6.08

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Klara Veldman vs Andre Lukosiute	Andre Lukosiute	501	99.9¢	100¢	$500	+$0.25	$0	1d 14h
W50 Lexington, SC: Bella Bergqvist Larsson vs Jane Dunyon	Bella Bergqvist Larsson	501	99.9¢	99.5¢	$498	−$2.25	$0	1d 14h
W35 Wagga Wagga: I Wen Wan vs Tahlia Kokkinis	I Wen Wan	501	99.9¢	99.5¢	$498	−$2.25	$0	1d 14h
W50 Lexington, SC: Cadence Brace vs Astra Sharma	Astra Sharma	155	99.9¢	99.5¢	$154	−$0.70	$0	1d 14h
M15 Pontevedra: Andrea Bacaloni vs Alejandro Garcia Carbajal	Alejandro Garcia Carbajal	155	99.9¢	99.4¢	$154	−$0.85	$0	2d 14h
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	125	95.7¢	99¢	$124	+$4.04	$0	3mo
Donte Layne vs. Keithland King	Donte Layne	124	99.9¢	95¢	$118	−$6.08	$0	ended
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	111	95¢	96.1¢	$106	+$1.16	+$1.21	3mo
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	103	97.3¢	99¢	$102	+$1.74	$0	3mo
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	59	92¢	92.6¢	$54	+$0.35	+$2.30	3mo
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?	No	56	97.6¢	95.9¢	$54	−$0.98	$0	3mo
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	52	96.2¢	98.7¢	$51	+$1.27	$0	3mo
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	41	97.8¢	98.1¢	$40	+$0.10	$0	3mo
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	32	94¢	96.6¢	$31	+$0.81	−$0.21	3mo
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	28	90.9¢	97.1¢	$27	+$1.69	$0	3mo
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	26	95¢	98.9¢	$26	+$1.01	$0	3mo
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	26	96.5¢	99.6¢	$26	+$0.79	$0	3mo
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	26	96.1¢	99.2¢	$26	+$0.79	$0	3mo
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	26	98¢	99.8¢	$25	+$0.45	$0	3mo
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	21	95.1¢	96.2¢	$20	+$0.23	$0	3mo
Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?	No	21	95¢	92.8¢	$20	−$0.47	$0	3mo
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?	No	16	92.9¢	97.7¢	$16	+$0.78	$0	3mo
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	16	95.8¢	97.6¢	$15	+$0.27	$0	3mo
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	10	98.4¢	99.6¢	$10	+$0.12	$0	3mo
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	16	62.2¢	34.9¢	$5.62	−$4.38	$0	3mo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	20	6.7¢	26.8¢	$5.40	+$4.04	+$0.60	15mo
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	11	90¢	17.3¢	$1.92	−$8.08	$0	3mo
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6	18¢	7.2¢	$0.40	−$0.60	$0	3mo
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9PM ET	Down	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	−$0.17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10AM ET	Down	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ET	Down	2,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5PM ET	Down	2,495	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.50	+$0.01	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	2,405	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.40	+$0.11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
BNB Up or Down - August 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	2,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.99	−$0.01	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	1,990	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.99	+$0.03	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	1,928	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.93	+$0.08	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	1,923	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.92	+$0.23	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	1,811	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.81	+$0.43	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10AM ET	Down	1,590	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.59	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	1,547	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.55	+$1.36	ended
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	1,532	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$5.25	−$0.28	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.01	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	1,500	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
43m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp
1h ago	SELL Down	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	0.1¢	35	$0.04	85%	82	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp
3h ago	SELL Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1AM ET	0.1¢	2	$0	85%	82	Sharp
6h ago	SELL Down	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10PM ET	0.1¢	25	$0.03	85%	82	Sharp
7h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp
8h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp
8h ago	SELL Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	0.4¢	120	$0.52	85%	82	Sharp
9h ago	SELL Up	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7PM ET	0.1¢	15	$0.02	85%	82	Sharp
9h ago	SELL Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	0.5¢	38	$0.19	85%	82	Sharp
11h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp
11h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp
11h ago	SELL Up	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	0.7¢	40	$0.26	85%	82	Sharp
13h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp
16h ago	SELL Up	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	0.1¢	18	$0.02	85%	82	Sharp
18h ago	SELL Up	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10AM ET	0.1¢	31	$0.03	85%	82	Sharp
18h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp
21h ago	SELL Up	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7AM ET	0.1¢	15	$0.02	85%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	0.1¢	84	$0.08	85%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	0.1¢	1,500	$1.50	85%	82	Sharp