sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Draffa

0xaac…90cb
WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$9,554vol $4.50M
PnL 30d−$2,235gains $0 · losses $25
PnL 7d−$254win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.8%adj 64.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$908cash n/a
Positions301 / 476open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,084below peak −$22.7kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.8% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes11.0k4.1¢4.3¢$474+$21+$0.77
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No20.2k3.2¢2.2¢$434−$205$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1220.9¢0.4¢$0.43−$0.67$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.8¢0.2¢$0.19−$0.81$0
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3000.3¢0.1¢$0.15−$0.75−$0.12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes120k0.5¢0¢$0−$646−$15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes62.7k0.4¢0¢$0−$254+$1,027
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No53.8k0.1¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes42.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$184−$3.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes40.0k3¢0¢$0−$1,199−$206
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No40.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$70$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes39.6k0.4¢0¢$0−$171$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes32.5k1¢0¢$0−$314+$489
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes31.8k2.3¢0¢$0−$741−$18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes31.2k3.3¢0¢$0−$1,039$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes30.0k1.4¢0¢$0−$419$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes30.0k3.5¢0¢$0−$1,052$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Yes30.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$61$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes28.0k2.9¢0¢$0−$827$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes27.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$117−$333
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes25.6k1.4¢0¢$0−$360$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes25.2k1.7¢0¢$0−$433$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes24.9k1.4¢0¢$0−$349$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No22.0k1.5¢0¢$0−$336$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes21.4k1.6¢0¢$0−$352$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No21.2k3.6¢0¢$0−$754$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No20.2k4.8¢0¢$0−$977$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes20.1k7.3¢0¢$0−$1,462+$18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Yes20.1k1.8¢0¢$0−$353$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No20.0k10.9¢0¢$0−$2,172−$210
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No20.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$526−$14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No18.5k2.5¢0¢$0−$457+$39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No18.5k6.9¢0¢$0−$1,280+$0.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?Yes17.1k1.4¢0¢$0−$235$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No16.7k1.1¢0¢$0−$178$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Yes16.2k3.7¢0¢$0−$596+$267
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes15.2k3.5¢0¢$0−$538$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No15.1k2¢0¢$0−$300$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes15.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$70$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No15.0k2.2¢0¢$0−$325$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Yes14.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$55$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes13.2k3.6¢0¢$0−$482$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes13.1k1.4¢0¢$0−$187$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes12.7k4.1¢0¢$0−$522+$1,006
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes12.6k1.7¢0¢$0−$211+$9.54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No12.0k3¢0¢$0−$357$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No11.7k0.1¢0¢$0−$12$0
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Portugal11.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$44−$0.37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No10.8k4.2¢0¢$0−$456$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes10.5k1¢0¢$0−$105$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes10.4k0.1¢0¢$0−$10−$0.52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1?No10.4k0.6¢0¢$0−$67−$2.93
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No10.1k1¢0¢$0−$105$0
Spread: England (-5.5)England10.1k0.1¢0¢$0−$10$0
Spread: France (-5.5)France10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$10−$0.01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes10.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?No10,0002.7¢0¢$0−$274$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 1?Yes10,0000.4¢0¢$0−$41$0
Spread: France (-4.5)France10,0000.1¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)Ceará SC9,9970.1¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?No9,0003.1¢0¢$0−$282$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes9,0004.1¢0¢$0−$369$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?Yes8,7781¢0¢$0−$84−$5.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?Yes8,4301.9¢0¢$0−$161−$2.44
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes8,0443.3¢0¢$0−$262$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?No8,0003.5¢0¢$0−$276$0
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain7,55011.3¢0¢$0−$850−$11
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14?Yes7,0411¢0¢$0−$70−$4.85
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No6,9812.3¢0¢$0−$162$0
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-07-13?Yes6,7007.5¢0¢$0−$505$0
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Spain6,5050.1¢0¢$0−$6.51$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No6,1492.1¢0¢$0−$129$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?No6,0004.2¢0¢$0−$255$0
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?No5,98714.5¢0¢$0−$867−$6.79
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?No5,8560.5¢0¢$0−$27$0
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland5,56312.1¢0¢$0−$674−$5.81
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No5,0500.2¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes5,0300.1¢0¢$0−$5.03−$0.02
Spread: England (-4.5)England5,0170.4¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?Yes5,0091.1¢0¢$0−$57−$3.30
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.25
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Spain5,0000.5¢0¢$0−$25$0
Spread: England (-5.5)England5,0000.3¢0¢$0−$15$0
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway4,7776.3¢0¢$0−$300−$6.62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Yes4,7110.1¢0¢$0−$4.71$0
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?No4,6237.9¢0¢$0−$363−$15
Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Brazil4,4530.3¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Yes4,4102.3¢0¢$0−$102−$2.36
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick HanfmannLukas Neumayer4,3336.9¢0¢$0−$300−$3.86
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Over4,3158.7¢0¢$0−$374−$0.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?Yes4,3022¢0¢$0−$88−$1.39
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?Yes4,2808.5¢0¢$0−$362$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4?Yes4,1710.1¢0¢$0−$4.17$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?Yes4,1022.4¢0¢$0−$100−$35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes4,0754¢0¢$0−$162+$402
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes3,6702.9¢0¢$0−$106$0
Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Morocco3,5030.4¢0¢$0−$13−$0.16
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-16?No3,50011.3¢0¢$0−$395−$17
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Dplus (BO5) - VCL Korea: PlayoffsDplus3,5000.6¢0¢$0−$22−$0.05
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12?Yes3,4649.9¢0¢$0−$343$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?2.2¢5,096$11169%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?2.1¢967$2069%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?3.3¢400$1369%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?3.7¢100$3.7069%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?3.8¢3,000$11369%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?3.7¢2,000$7469%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?4¢902$3669%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?4¢1,000$4069%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?4.4¢1,000$4469%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?4.6¢2,100$9769%33
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?4.6¢1,000$4669%33
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?4.4¢1,600$7069%33
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?4.3¢5,414$23269%33
SELL YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?4.1¢155$6.3569%33
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?0.8¢858$6.8769%33
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?2.4¢982$2469%33
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?3.3¢1,607$5269%33
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?4¢288$1269%33
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?3.7¢1,523$5669%33
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?4.2¢819$3569%33