sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,034

ANGGGuess

0xab0…2558
WhalePoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$638vol $398k
PnL 30d+$4,410gains $527 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$234win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 63.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$219kcash n/a
Positions18 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.7%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 35d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.8kbelow peak −$2,805Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No69.4k91.5¢96.7¢$67.1k+$3,634$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No39.5k94¢96.7¢$38.2k+$1,049$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No22.7k90.5¢94.5¢$21.5k+$901$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No20.6k74¢84.5¢$17.4k+$2,164$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No17.5k88.4¢95¢$16.6k+$1,151$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No15.0k95¢97.7¢$14.6k+$399$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No14.7k91¢94.5¢$13.9k+$515$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No8,76895.6¢97¢$8,501+$121$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No8,15286.5¢92.5¢$7,540+$487$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No5,66691¢94.5¢$5,354+$198$0
Russia coup attempt in 2026?No3,20093.6¢96.9¢$3,099+$103$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes15.2k15¢12.5¢$1,905−$381$0
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No2,01490¢93.5¢$1,883+$70$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes4,21330¢19.5¢$821−$442−$1,318
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes2,37542¢29.5¢$701−$297$0
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No20691¢96.5¢$199+$11$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes9,38144¢0¢$0−$4,128−$116
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes1,32452.8¢0¢$0−$700$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?95¢15.7k$14.9k100%24Whale
BUY NoIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?87¢4,906$4,268100%24
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?99.9¢18.4k$18.4k100%24Whale
BUY NoIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?85.8¢3,241$2,781100%24
BUY NoRussia coup attempt in 2026?94¢2,000$1,880100%24
BUY NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?94¢17.0k$16.0k100%24Whale
SELL YesWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?22¢13.3k$2,926100%24
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?91¢2,547$2,318100%24
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?91¢15.3k$13.9k100%24Whale
BUY NoChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?90¢2,014$1,812100%24
BUY NoUS charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?91¢201$183100%24
BUY NoWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?95¢1,748$1,660100%24
BUY YesUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?52.8¢1,324$700100%24
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?91¢5,366$4,883100%24
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?42¢2,320$974100%24
BUY NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?92¢6,309$5,804100%24
BUY NoRussia coup attempt in 2026?93¢825$768100%24
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?44¢9,381$4,128100%24
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?92¢2,423$2,229100%24
BUY YesWill Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?15¢7,000$1,050100%24