PnL all-time+$1,376vol $22.6k
PnL 30d+$979gains $1,032 · losses $27
PnL 7d+$106win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate66.2%adj 64.8% · 30d 82.1%
Open value$906cash n/a
Positions13 / 221open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.5%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,538below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 66.2% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$403Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$198Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$167Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$56Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$53
Worst markets
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$79Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? · Noclosed−$61Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$37Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? · Yesclosed−$37US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · Noclosed−$26
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? | No | 259 | 55.8¢ | 59¢ | $153 | +$8.41 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 174 | 74.6¢ | 84.5¢ | $147 | +$17 | +$0.02 | |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | No | 167 | 60¢ | 76.5¢ | $128 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | No | 111 | 89.7¢ | 88.8¢ | $99 | −$1.01 | +$20 | |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | No | 106 | 75.8¢ | 91.5¢ | $97 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026? | No | 147 | 13.6¢ | 51.5¢ | $76 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | No | 99 | 71¢ | 67.5¢ | $67 | −$3.44 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31? | No | 66 | 53.2¢ | 86¢ | $57 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? | No | 89 | 39.3¢ | 44.5¢ | $40 | +$4.66 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 33 | 60¢ | 68.5¢ | $23 | +$2.83 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? | No | 20 | 50¢ | 89.5¢ | $18 | +$7.89 | +$18 | |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | Yes | 10 | 21¢ | 22.5¢ | $2.14 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? | Yes | 5 | 46¢ | 32¢ | $1.60 | −$0.70 | $0 |
Recent trades
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