sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

mamai

0xabb…8f37
1y+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$28.0kvol $1.11M
PnL 30d+$4,599gains $7,835 · losses $1,406
PnL 7d+$482win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate60.0%adj 59.6% · 30d 68.0%
Open value$25.8kcash n/a
Positions64 / 687open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 18h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$23.3kbelow peak −$23.5kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 64

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No3,20384.3¢93.5¢$2,995+$295$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3,34079¢82.5¢$2,755+$116−$116
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No2,79164.5¢85.5¢$2,387+$587$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No2,59381¢85.5¢$2,217+$117$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?No2,07068.2¢94¢$1,946+$534$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No2,34676.2¢76.5¢$1,795+$6.92$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No2,20936.3¢69¢$1,524+$722$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,42560.2¢83.5¢$1,190+$332$0
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Yes1,23581¢82.5¢$1,019+$19$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No1,05969.9¢87¢$921+$182$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No1,63838.8¢55.8¢$914+$279$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No1,00070¢79.5¢$795+$95$0
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?No72680.7¢82.5¢$599+$13$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No2,05919.1¢23.5¢$484+$92$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No42774.5¢96.2¢$410+$92$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No38386.1¢98.2¢$376+$47$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No40969¢85.5¢$349+$67$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No98530.4¢34¢$335+$35$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No50861¢64.5¢$328+$18$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No40364.5¢76.5¢$308+$48$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No1,54330.5¢19¢$293−$177$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?No41173¢69.5¢$286−$14$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes51544.6¢42.5¢$219−$11$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No46542.9¢47¢$219+$19$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No28471¢72.5¢$206+$4.19$0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No33360¢53.5¢$178−$22$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No76115.8¢20¢$152+$32$0
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?No60531.4¢24¢$145−$45$0
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No2,39435.2¢4.5¢$108−$735$0
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?No15166.3¢66.5¢$100+$0.26$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes50518.8¢19.5¢$98+$3.42$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No20349.3¢37¢$75−$25$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No47621¢15.5¢$74−$26$0
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?No40974.6¢2.6¢$11−$294$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No12.0k53.6¢0¢$0−$6,429−$107
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No7,55419.4¢0¢$0−$1,465−$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ETDown5,41069.3¢0¢$0−$3,750−$723
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?No3,78170.9¢0¢$0−$2,680−$33
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13?No1,68969.1¢0¢$0−$1,166−$24
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?No1,07038.3¢0¢$0−$410−$15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No93757.9¢0¢$0−$543−$14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No91566.7¢0¢$0−$610−$7.60
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?No76729.7¢0¢$0−$228−$11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?No64824.5¢0¢$0−$159−$8.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?No63578.8¢0¢$0−$500−$4.24
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No55354.2¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes47570.1¢0¢$0−$333$0
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes47063.8¢0¢$0−$300−$5.42
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes44270.1¢0¢$0−$310−$4.57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Yes36455¢0¢$0−$200−$4.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No34558¢0¢$0−$200$0
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev33959¢0¢$0−$200−$4.10
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 September 7-13?No32246.6¢0¢$0−$150−$5.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?No26074.3¢0¢$0−$193−$149
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes23526.8¢0¢$0−$63−$2.31
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsPARIVISION22788¢0¢$0−$200−$1.20
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes22666.2¢0¢$0−$150−$2.53
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?No1975.1¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No19069¢0¢$0−$131−$1.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown17856.2¢0¢$0−$100−$3.06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes15763.5¢0¢$0−$100−$1.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ETUp13773¢0¢$0−$100−$1.89
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming5591¢0¢$0−$50−$0.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No1675¢0¢$0−$12−$0.12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoNATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?87.5¢213$18660%35
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?72.9¢137$10060%35
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?49.3¢203$10060%35
SELL YesGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?54¢672$36260%35
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?69.3¢144$10060%35
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?67¢3$2.0060%35
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?86.1¢383$33060%35
BUY NoNATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?77.9¢514$40060%35
BUY NoNATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?66.3¢151$10060%35
BUY NoTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?21¢476$10060%35
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?70¢1,000$70060%35
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?73¢411$30060%35
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?60¢333$20060%35
BUY YesWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?66.2¢226$15060%35
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?61¢508$31060%35
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?43¢233$10060%35
BUY PARIVISIONDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs88¢227$20060%35
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?69¢409$28260%35
BUY NoWill a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?74.6¢409$30560%35
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?46¢283$13060%35