PnL all-time+$91vol $1,819
PnL 30d+$4.19gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2.51win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 54.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$325cash n/a
Positions7 / 9open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$100below peak −$13Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable32
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? · Yesclosed+$65Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k? · Yesopen+$53Will Kanye West release an album in 2026? · Yesopen+$14Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? · Noopen+$7.77Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings? · Noclosed+$4.56
Worst markets
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000? · Yesopen−$24Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 4? · Noopen−$15S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16? · Upopen−$5.38Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$1.00
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k? | Yes | 153 | 65.3¢ | 100¢ | $153 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will Kanye West release an album in 2026? | Yes | 114 | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | $114 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? | No | 84 | 59.7¢ | 69¢ | $58 | +$7.77 | $0 | |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 4? | No | 801 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000? | Yes | 73 | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16? | Up | 8 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.38 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 4? | 1.9¢ | 801 | $15 | 100% | 21 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k? | 65.3¢ | 153 | $100 | 100% | 21 | |||
| BUY Up | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16? | 66¢ | 8 | $5.38 | 100% | 21 | |||
| BUY Yes | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | 0.2¢ | 500 | $1.00 | 100% | 21 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Kanye West release an album in 2026? | 87.9¢ | 114 | $100 | 100% | 21 | |||
| BUY No | Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? | 59.7¢ | 84 | $50 | 100% | 21 | |||
| BUY No | Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings? | 18¢ | 6 | $1.00 | 100% | 21 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000? | 32.7¢ | 73 | $24 | 100% | 21 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | 18.7¢ | 80 | $15 | 100% | 21 |