PnL all-time+$1,151vol $33.0k
PnL 30d+$1,217gains $1,044 · losses $20
PnL 7d+$168win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 54.2% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$3,373cash n/a
Positions4 / 8open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.9%of equity peak
Account age24dlast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,233below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable30
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$508Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yesclosed+$459Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Noopen+$128No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Noclosed+$77Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? · Noopen+$8.49
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | No | 3,375 | 90.7¢ | 92¢ | $3,105 | +$45 | +$83 | |
| Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? | No | 130 | 90.6¢ | 94¢ | $122 | +$4.46 | +$4.03 | |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 878 | 16.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $101 | −$47 | +$39 | |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | 50 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $45 | +$1.25 | $0 |
Recent trades
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