Traders/Rank #6,097

Thermomenal

0xac7…04ff

SharpWR 70+WR 60+<14d old<30d oldWeather

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$2,055vol $228k

PnL 30d+$1,702gains $10.7k · losses $1,518

PnL 7d+$3,358win rate 7d 71.4%

Win rate71.4%adj 70.6% · 30d 71.4%

Open value$9,224cash n/a

Positions593 / 1,313open / all-time

Max drawdown0%of equity peak

Account age11dlast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47

Adjusted win rateraw 71.4% · shrunk toward 50%76

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28? · Yesclosed+$287 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25? · Yesclosed+$192 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28? · Yesclosed+$172 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30? · Yesopen+$157 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 25? · Yesclosed+$154

Worst markets

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 24? · Yesopen−$227 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23? · Yesopen−$167 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 29? · Noopen−$159 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30? · Yesopen−$155 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 24? · Yesopen−$153

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	324	47.2¢	90¢	$292	+$139	+$13	ended
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	264	40.2¢	96.3¢	$254	+$148	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	510	49.9¢	46¢	$235	−$20	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	No	406	54.7¢	55.8¢	$227	+$4.54	−$5.05	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	584	32.3¢	38¢	$222	+$34	+$3.28	ended
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	239	28.7¢	86.5¢	$207	+$138	+$19	ended
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	240	71¢	79.5¢	$191	+$20	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	263	52.7¢	64¢	$168	+$30	−$0.27	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	188	80.9¢	85.5¢	$161	+$8.68	−$19	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 31?	No	207	63.7¢	67¢	$139	+$6.71	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 31?	No	162	59.1¢	83.5¢	$135	+$39	−$0.65	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	233	47.9¢	58¢	$135	+$24	+$2.14	ended
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	No	183	68.1¢	73¢	$134	+$8.93	−$1.98	ended
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	148	64.4¢	85¢	$126	+$30	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	No	199	63.9¢	59.5¢	$119	−$8.69	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 30?	No	125	80.2¢	94¢	$117	+$17	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	129	42¢	90.5¢	$117	+$63	+$2.70	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 31?	No	135	70¢	85.5¢	$116	+$21	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	185	46.9¢	62¢	$115	+$28	+$7.17	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 30?	Yes	335	40.2¢	33.5¢	$112	−$22	+$3.70	ended
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	141	76.9¢	79.5¢	$112	+$3.65	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	193	32¢	56.5¢	$109	+$47	+$3.62	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	199	54.4¢	54.5¢	$108	+$0.17	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	No	113	69.9¢	91.5¢	$104	+$24	−$21	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	224	39.4¢	45.5¢	$102	+$14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	167	54.2¢	61¢	$102	+$11	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 31?	No	113	76.9¢	89¢	$101	+$14	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 30?	No	122	73.7¢	80.5¢	$98	+$8.22	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 30?	No	104	81.1¢	94¢	$98	+$13	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	148	74.7¢	66¢	$98	−$13	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 30?	No	142	78¢	66.5¢	$94	−$16	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	115	59¢	81.5¢	$93	+$26	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 30?	No	149	67.4¢	62¢	$93	−$8.06	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 30?	Yes	139	53.8¢	66.5¢	$92	+$18	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	No	178	44.5¢	49.5¢	$88	+$8.93	−$2.61	ended
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	140	65¢	62.5¢	$87	−$3.50	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	114	51.3¢	74¢	$85	+$26	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	170	42.8¢	49.5¢	$84	+$11	+$23	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	177	43.6¢	47.5¢	$84	+$6.93	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	No	164	56.7¢	51¢	$84	−$9.32	−$52	ended
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	143	48¢	57.5¢	$82	+$14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	180	42.9¢	44¢	$79	+$1.94	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 31?	Yes	170	40.5¢	46¢	$78	+$9.32	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	141	51.8¢	55.5¢	$78	+$5.19	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 30?	Yes	147	60.7¢	52¢	$77	−$13	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	167	49.1¢	44.5¢	$74	−$7.73	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	No	80	85.7¢	91.9¢	$73	+$4.98	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	89	72.3¢	81¢	$72	+$7.75	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 31?	No	81	78¢	88.5¢	$72	+$8.49	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	82	80.9¢	87¢	$71	+$5.01	−$0.67	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	92	75¢	76.5¢	$70	+$1.38	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 30?	No	94	57.1¢	69.5¢	$66	+$12	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30?	No	85	80.9¢	75.5¢	$64	−$4.62	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 31?	No	118	54¢	54¢	$64	$0	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	84	78¢	75.5¢	$63	−$2.09	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	120	53¢	51.5¢	$62	−$1.81	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 30?	No	71	81.7¢	85.7¢	$61	+$2.82	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	Yes	113	59.6¢	53¢	$60	−$7.48	−$2.82	ended
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	116	55¢	51.5¢	$60	−$4.05	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30?	Yes	134	42.3¢	44.5¢	$60	+$2.98	+$2.04	ended
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 30?	No	84	77.2¢	69¢	$58	−$6.86	−$31	ended
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 30?	No	71	89¢	79¢	$56	−$7.11	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	97	36.8¢	58¢	$56	+$20	+$9.39	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 30?	Yes	120	45.4¢	46.5¢	$56	+$1.32	+$11	ended
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	84	77.6¢	66.5¢	$56	−$9.28	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	129	49.2¢	42.5¢	$55	−$8.64	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	161	29.9¢	32.5¢	$52	+$4.17	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 31?	No	64	58.9¢	81.5¢	$52	+$14	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	82	41¢	63¢	$52	+$18	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	106	43.2¢	48.5¢	$51	+$5.65	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 30?	Yes	143	44.9¢	33.5¢	$48	−$16	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 30?	Yes	117	36¢	40¢	$47	+$4.67	+$0.90	ended
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	68	71.7¢	69¢	$47	−$1.85	−$8.00	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	78	54¢	59.5¢	$47	+$4.30	−$1.90	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	180	49.7¢	25¢	$45	−$44	+$0.10	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 31?	Yes	110	40¢	40¢	$44	−$0.05	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	200	23.7¢	21.5¢	$43	−$4.31	+$34	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	256	26.2¢	16.5¢	$42	−$25	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	74	52¢	57¢	$42	+$3.68	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	Yes	110	36.5¢	38¢	$42	+$1.61	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	46	84.5¢	89.5¢	$41	+$2.28	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	84	40.5¢	47.5¢	$40	+$5.87	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 30?	Yes	109	29¢	36.5¢	$40	+$8.21	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	65	58.1¢	60.5¢	$39	+$1.55	−$4.52	ended
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	No	50	74.1¢	77.5¢	$39	+$1.68	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 30?	No	51	72¢	74.5¢	$38	+$1.29	−$4.40	ended
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 31?	Yes	91	39.8¢	42¢	$38	+$2.00	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?	No	45	74¢	80.5¢	$36	+$2.92	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	No	64	59¢	56.5¢	$36	−$1.59	−$4.69	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	No	43	73.3¢	82¢	$35	+$3.73	−$4.29	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	150	23¢	23.5¢	$35	+$0.75	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on October 31?	No	45	81.9¢	77.5¢	$35	−$1.98	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 31?	No	51	75.4¢	68.5¢	$35	−$3.52	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	66	48.7¢	52.5¢	$35	+$2.50	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 31?	Yes	122	26.8¢	27.5¢	$34	+$0.87	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 31?	Yes	124	28¢	27¢	$33	−$1.24	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 30?	No	42	78¢	76.5¢	$32	−$0.64	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 31?	Yes	195	22.4¢	16¢	$31	−$13	$0	8h 26m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	105	32.1¢	29.5¢	$31	−$2.69	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 31?	No	42	76¢	73.5¢	$31	−$1.05	−$11	8h 26m

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
3m ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 30?	99.9¢	117	$117	71%	78	Sharp
6m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?	43¢	0	$0.13	71%	78	Sharp
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 30?	99.9¢	66	$66	71%	78	Sharp
20m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31?	46¢	12	$5.33	71%	78	Sharp
21m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	49¢	141	$69	71%	78	Sharp
23m ago	BUY No	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	58.1¢	66	$38	71%	78	Sharp
24m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	41¢	67	$28	71%	78	Sharp
29m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	34.6¢	100	$35	71%	78	Sharp
29m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	43.4¢	47	$20	71%	78	Sharp
29m ago	BUY No	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	53.4¢	138	$74	71%	78	Sharp
38m ago	BUY No	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 31?	86.8¢	79	$69	71%	78	Sharp
44m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	48.4¢	54	$26	71%	78	Sharp
49m ago	BUY No	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 31?	61.1¢	190	$116	71%	78	Sharp
50m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	37.7¢	30	$11	71%	78	Sharp
53m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1?	50¢	23	$11	71%	78	Sharp
58m ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 30?	99.9¢	120	$120	71%	78	Sharp
59m ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1?	56¢	4	$2.21	71%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Yes	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?	40¢	26	$10	71%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY No	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	82.8¢	89	$74	71%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY No	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	69¢	169	$116	71%	78	Sharp