sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,233

tryingmyluckhere

0xac9…d4c5
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+CryptoSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$161kvol $6.89M
PnL 30d−$1,453gains $19.6k · losses $6,419
PnL 7d−$2,493win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate45.7%adj 45.9% · 30d 69.2%
Open value$41.2kcash n/a
Positions127 / 608open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.1%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$150kbelow peak −$44.9kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 45.7% · shrunk toward 50%15
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?No13.9k70.6¢70.5¢$9,790−$7.97$0
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No5,00077¢77.5¢$3,875+$25+$996
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes24.5k29.7¢14.5¢$3,554−$3,733$0
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?No4,55551.9¢64¢$2,915+$552+$92
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No5,00066¢51.5¢$2,575−$725$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No5,61541¢39.5¢$2,218−$84$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes47.6k3.2¢4.6¢$2,190+$646+$732
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes6,60028.2¢29.4¢$1,937+$76$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes58.1k4.2¢2.8¢$1,598−$840$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No5,00028¢25.5¢$1,275−$125+$280
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes11.8k10.5¢8.5¢$1,007−$233$0
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?Yes10.7k5.5¢8.4¢$895+$312$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes5,00016¢16.5¢$825+$25$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,87521.4¢38.9¢$728+$327+$691
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No1,92129¢31¢$596+$38+$241
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?No48587¢98.1¢$476+$54$0
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No1,06063¢39¢$414−$254$0
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes62962¢60.5¢$380−$9.43−$6.84
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes7,40539.3¢5¢$370−$2,542$0
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes77861.7¢46.5¢$362−$119$0
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes2,62951.2¢13¢$342−$1,003−$7.29
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No33826¢95.5¢$323+$235$0
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?No30290¢96.5¢$291+$19$0
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1,88660¢14.7¢$277−$854$0
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?No50028¢52¢$260+$120$0
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?No26092¢98.4¢$256+$17$0
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes10.3k25¢2.2¢$221−$2,348+$49
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?No21022¢97.1¢$204+$158$0
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes6,28228.3¢3.2¢$198−$1,579$0
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1,20061.4¢14¢$168−$568$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No2,00015¢4¢$79−$221$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes2,00029¢4¢$79−$501$0
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes20547.9¢36.5¢$75−$23$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1,74412.9¢4.2¢$73−$151$0
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes16126¢45¢$73+$31$0
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?No10553¢63.5¢$67+$11$0
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes1,64662.3¢3.6¢$58−$967−$105
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes24134.9¢14.4¢$35−$49+$3.34
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1,5716.4¢1.9¢$29−$71$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes60017¢4.6¢$27−$75$0
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes2036¢5.5¢$11−$1.01$0
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1154.6¢89¢$9.62+$3.72+$2,396
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1135.8¢86¢$9.40+$5.49+$1,332
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?No1068¢67.5¢$6.79−$0.05$0
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1538¢40.5¢$5.87+$0.36$0
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?No55¢97.9¢$5.15+$4.89$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes14937¢2.4¢$3.49−$52$0
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes3317¢3.6¢$1.18−$4.48−$26
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes5421¢1.9¢$1.03−$10$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes69.0k9.4¢0¢$0−$6,457$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes54.1k3.2¢0¢$0−$1,715$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes19.8k13¢0¢$0−$2,569$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Yes18.3k0.6¢0¢$0−$109$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes14.2k1.7¢0¢$0−$240$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No10.2k69.1¢0¢$0−$7,013−$569
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes10.0k48¢0¢$0−$4,800−$125
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No8,00045.6¢0¢$0−$3,650−$2.88
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes6,30922.1¢0¢$0−$1,393$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes5,20937.6¢0¢$0−$1,960−$38
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes4,7855¢0¢$0−$239$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?No4,29055.5¢0¢$0−$2,381+$1,189
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No3,84658.3¢0¢$0−$2,244−$33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes3,00017¢0¢$0−$510$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No2,43649.7¢0¢$0−$1,210−$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT12,00052.9¢0¢$0−$1,059−$1.01
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes2,0005¢0¢$0−$100$0
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?Yes2,0000.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No1,61166.6¢0¢$0−$1,074−$14
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?No1,4597.6¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20−$0.59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes1,00011.8¢0¢$0−$118$0
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland1,00024¢0¢$0−$240$0
Will T1 win MSI 2026?Yes1,00026.6¢0¢$0−$266−$5.86
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIT11,00046¢0¢$0−$460$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes9354.4¢0¢$0−$41−$344
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?Yes9091.1¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No82847.7¢0¢$0−$395−$9.79
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8008.8¢0¢$0−$70−$1.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT175866¢0¢$0−$500−$5.10
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6913.9¢0¢$0−$27−$0.78
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes60029¢0¢$0−$174$0
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?No59453.7¢0¢$0−$319+$127
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Manchester City FC?Yes5263.8¢0¢$0−$20−$0.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes50320.3¢0¢$0−$102$0
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?No50235¢0¢$0−$176$0
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes50012¢0¢$0−$60−$1.58
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes50014.7¢0¢$0−$73−$1.88
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster50018¢0¢$0−$90−$2.21
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsAnyone's Legend50020¢0¢$0−$100−$2.40
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Kiwoom DRX5006.4¢0¢$0−$32−$0.05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?Yes50021¢0¢$0−$105−$3.66
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA50026¢0¢$0−$130−$2.89
Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceAustria5005¢0¢$0−$25−$0.71
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes43434.4¢0¢$0−$149−$4.72
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?Yes4172.4¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.29
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?Yes3572.8¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.49
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?Yes3572.8¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?Yes32331¢0¢$0−$100−$3.45
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?Yes3131.6¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina31332¢0¢$0−$100−$3.40

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesSydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?5.5¢10.7k$58346%61
BUY YesVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?28.2¢67$1946%61
BUY NoVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?41¢4,456$1,82746%61
BUY NoExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?77¢5,000$3,85046%61
SELL YesExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?33.6¢1,603$53846%61
SELL YesExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?35.2¢1,298$45746%61
BUY NoExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?29¢216$6346%61
BUY NoBase FDV above $5B one day after launch?68¢10$6.8446%61
SELL YesWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?4¢2,246$9046%61
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?92¢260$23946%61
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?90¢252$22746%61
SELL YesAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?13¢548$7146%61
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?87¢485$42246%61
SELL YesAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?38¢378$14446%61
SELL YesAbstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?20.2¢36$7.2646%61
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?0.1¢176$0.1846%61
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?44.9¢720$32346%61
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?6¢156$9.3646%61
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?14¢2,690$37746%61
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?15.3¢330$5146%61