PnL all-time+$162kvol $7.12M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate38.8%adj 39.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions3 / 1,653open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.4%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$162kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 38.8% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$24.8kWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6? · Yesclosed+$12.9kWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? · Noclosed+$6,003Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026? · Noclosed+$4,937Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$4,199
Worst markets
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yesclosed−$2,184US government shutdown Saturday? · Yesclosed−$2,015Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 8? · Noclosed−$1,350Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 22? · Noclosed−$1,324Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 15? · Yesclosed−$1,089
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 24? | Yes | 957 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.41 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 24? | Yes | 35 | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.34 | $0 | |
| Will Cailyn Campbell win the Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Women's Singles) tournament? | Yes | 20 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.40 | $0 |
Recent trades
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