PnL all-time−$2,506vol $53.3k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 52.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,114cash n/a
Positions8 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,506below peak −$3,650Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
9/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? · Yesopen+$708Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · Yesclosed+$450Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? · Yesclosed+$340Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$323Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? · Yesopen+$15
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 2,000 | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | $2,000 | +$708 | $0 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 114 | 87¢ | 100¢ | $114 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 6,000 | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$497 | $0 | |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 2,460 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$959 | +$1.59 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 1,000 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$700 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 1,000 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$540 | $0 | |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Yes | 317 | 36.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115 | $0 | |
| Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? | Yes | 6 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.86 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL Yes | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | 59¢ | 1,356 | $800 | 60% | 9 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | 43.5¢ | 2,310 | $1,005 | 60% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | 86¢ | 356 | $306 | 60% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | 89¢ | 1,000 | $890 | 60% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | 82¢ | 605 | $496 | 60% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 60¢ | 4,500 | $2,700 | 60% | 9 | |||
| SELL Yes | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | 47¢ | 0 | $0.08 | 60% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | 46¢ | 10.2k | $4,686 | 60% | 9 |