sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,673

iraa3

0xad6…97f4
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,856vol $1.40M
PnL 30d−$2,385gains $2,608 · losses $243
PnL 7d−$769win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.9%adj 79.6% · 30d 87.5%
Open value$173kcash n/a
Positions102 / 359open / all-time
Max drawdown−81.3%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,282below peak −$2,910Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 81.9% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity19

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No33.7k94.7¢97.1¢$32.7k+$792$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes42.7k44.1¢48.6¢$20.7k+$1,895−$11
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No12.3k97.1¢98.3¢$12.1k+$152+$4.55
Iran Nuke before 2027?No11.9k95.3¢96.5¢$11.5k+$135+$0.02
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No11.3k95.8¢97¢$11.0k+$132+$6.91
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No9,45496.2¢97.4¢$9,208+$114+$97
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes42.2k32.1¢15.2¢$6,399−$7,142−$169
US recession by end of 2026?No4,95291.9¢93.5¢$4,631+$80$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo4,70088.9¢91.5¢$4,300+$121$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k20¢19.9¢$3,970−$26$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes3,88597.2¢98.5¢$3,825+$49+$11
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No3,59497¢99.6¢$3,578+$90+$96
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No3,62496.8¢97.9¢$3,548+$42+$307
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3,32996.3¢95.6¢$3,181−$26+$41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No3,01997.6¢97.1¢$2,932−$15+$10
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,77094.6¢95.7¢$2,649+$29+$2.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,47995.6¢96.8¢$2,399+$29+$51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No1,93494.1¢97.4¢$1,883+$63$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,00092¢90.5¢$1,810−$30$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,55094.8¢95.8¢$1,485+$15+$5.18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k13.9¢7.4¢$1,470−$1,311$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes1,70087.7¢85.5¢$1,453−$37$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No1,43695.5¢97.4¢$1,398+$27+$109
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No1,40090.3¢95¢$1,330+$66+$4.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,37592¢94.5¢$1,299+$35+$99
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes2,00055.5¢63.5¢$1,270+$160+$68
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No1,18992.3¢89.5¢$1,064−$33$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,05096.3¢96.2¢$1,010−$1.45$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?Yes1,00094.7¢97.1¢$971+$23$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00093.5¢92.5¢$925−$10.00$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No1,50075¢61.5¢$922−$203$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No80087.9¢96.7¢$774+$71$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes85981.7¢77.5¢$666−$36$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No70094¢94.5¢$662+$3.50$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No80087.5¢77.5¢$620−$80$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes80087.2¢77.5¢$620−$78$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes63894.4¢93.3¢$595−$6.84$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No58894¢95.2¢$560+$7.06$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes2,00132.5¢27.5¢$550−$100+$35
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?No50098.1¢98¢$490−$0.75$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?No50097.5¢97.8¢$489+$1.25$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No50091¢95.5¢$478+$23$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No50092¢89¢$445−$15−$988
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes50090¢87.5¢$438−$13$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No46491.4¢93.9¢$435+$11$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No43490.7¢93.8¢$407+$13+$262
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No40092.5¢95¢$380+$10$0
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes37595.8¢97.8¢$367+$7.32$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes40093¢90.5¢$362−$10$0
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No30096.4¢97.2¢$292+$2.40$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No30095.2¢96.9¢$291+$5.10$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No30087¢96.4¢$289+$28$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?No30094.2¢96.4¢$289+$6.57$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No30095¢96.2¢$289+$3.60$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No30096.3¢96.2¢$288−$0.45$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No30087¢94.5¢$284+$23$0
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Yes30093.8¢93.5¢$281−$0.99$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No28390¢93.5¢$264+$9.76+$1.64
Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?No27995¢92.7¢$258−$6.55$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes27288.7¢91.5¢$249+$7.51$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No31678.5¢77.5¢$245−$3.20+$2.71
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?No24594.6¢96¢$235+$3.42$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes40087.2¢43.5¢$174−$175+$5.54
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes20076¢82.5¢$165+$13$0
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No19779.6¢83.5¢$164+$7.66+$55
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No20091¢76.5¢$153−$29$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,1008.5¢13.2¢$145+$51$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes80016.2¢18¢$144+$14+$8.11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes80019.6¢17.8¢$143−$14$0
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?Yes13594.2¢98.4¢$133+$5.60$0
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?No12394.2¢98.3¢$121+$4.99$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes80013.9¢15.1¢$120+$9.32$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,1007.5¢10.1¢$111+$29$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes11490¢93.3¢$106+$3.70+$4.12
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?No12094¢87¢$104−$8.38$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes50081¢19.5¢$97−$307$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No10088.2¢97.5¢$97+$9.24$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?No10094.9¢95.2¢$95+$0.30$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?No10094.1¢94¢$94−$0.10$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No10091.7¢92.5¢$93+$0.80$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,10012.1¢8.1¢$89−$45$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?No10081¢88¢$88+$7.00$0
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?No8695.9¢95.9¢$82$0$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes10076¢81¢$81+$5.00$0
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?No8395.8¢95.4¢$79−$0.38$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027?No7689.3¢91.5¢$69+$1.65$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes8005¢5.9¢$48+$7.20$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No5981¢72¢$43−$5.32+$2.86
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes8004.9¢5.1¢$40+$1.00$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes30064.6¢11.5¢$35−$159$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?Yes2993¢94.5¢$27+$0.43$0
US recession by end of 2027?Yes8034¢33.5¢$27−$0.40$0
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No2794.3¢95.6¢$26+$0.35$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5004.9¢4.6¢$23−$1.50$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3007.1¢7.5¢$22+$1.05$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?No2295.4¢96.1¢$21+$0.15$0
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes2194¢97.9¢$20+$0.81$0
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?No2094¢96.6¢$19+$0.52$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes4358.6¢39.5¢$17−$8.22−$11
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5002.8¢3.1¢$15+$1.25$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?95.6¢400$38282%64
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?97.5¢1,000$97582%64
BUY YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98.4¢614$60482%64
BUY NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?98.5¢2,059$2,02882%64
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.1¢1,198$1,18782%64
SELL NoIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?98.4¢28$2882%64
BUY NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?98.7¢836$82682%64
BUY NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?98.6¢1,135$1,11982%64
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?96.4¢500$48282%64
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?97.8¢500$48982%64
BUY NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?98.5¢1,000$98582%64
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?98.2¢597$58682%64
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?96.1¢800$76982%64
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?98.3¢5$4.9282%64
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?93¢400$37282%64
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?92¢598$55082%64
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?92¢897$82582%64
BUY NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?97¢167$16282%64
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢400$36882%64
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?92¢400$36882%64