sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #5,572

jcsberger

0xada…3da0
WR 60+Other
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$850vol $118k
PnL 30d+$2,378gains $1,242 · losses $505
PnL 7d−$40win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate68.4%adj 62.1% · 30d 67.6%
Open value$66.0kcash n/a
Positions72 / 110open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.5%of equity peak
Account age32dlast trade 6d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,439below peak −$82Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 68.4% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d79
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$848Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · Noopen+$222Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? · Yesopen+$219Epic Games IPO before 2027? · Noopen+$143OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Noopen+$107

Worst markets

Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? · Noclosed−$155Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yesclosed−$103Clemson vs. California · Californiaopen−$100Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yesclosed−$79Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$58

Open positions · 72

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,45196.6¢97.7¢$5,323+$57$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?No4,56296¢97.6¢$4,453+$72$0
Databricks IPO before 2027?No4,53695.9¢97.2¢$4,409+$58$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No4,34794.4¢96.9¢$4,210+$107$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No4,04188.5¢94¢$3,798+$222$0
Epic Games IPO before 2027?No3,61193.9¢97.9¢$3,533+$143$0
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No3,02395.1¢97.4¢$2,943+$69$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No3,25091¢90.5¢$2,941−$16$0
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No2,64695.9¢97.8¢$2,588+$49$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,75095.9¢96.8¢$1,693+$15$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No1,73993.5¢96¢$1,669+$43$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No1,70097.5¢97.2¢$1,651−$5.59$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No1,58194.3¢95.7¢$1,513+$21$0
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No1,45993.3¢98.1¢$1,431+$70$0
Vanta IPO before 2027?No1,30295.6¢99¢$1,289+$44$0
Ramp IPO before 2027?No1,25693.9¢97.8¢$1,228+$49$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No1,39586¢86.5¢$1,207+$6.69$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?No1,25293.3¢96.1¢$1,203+$35$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No1,25093¢92.5¢$1,156−$6.25$0
Glean IPO before 2027?No1,10494.8¢99.1¢$1,094+$46$0
Ledger IPO before 2027?No1,11795¢97.8¢$1,091+$31$0
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No1,10197.1¢97.9¢$1,078+$9.00$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No1,25082¢81.5¢$1,019−$6.25$0
Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2026?No1,00494.3¢96.7¢$970+$24$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No95595.8¢97.1¢$927+$12$0
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No90197¢97.6¢$879+$4.90$0
WHOOP IPO before 2027?No85794¢98.9¢$848+$42$0
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?No85593.8¢97.7¢$835+$33$0
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?No81693.4¢97.6¢$796+$34$0
Waymo IPO before 2027?No62397¢98.2¢$612+$7.48$0
Remote IPO before 2027?No58594¢96.6¢$565+$15$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No64991.8¢84¢$545−$50$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No55594.1¢96.9¢$538+$16$0
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No54495¢95.8¢$521+$4.35$0
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?No44193.8¢97.4¢$430+$16$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No39297.6¢98.1¢$384+$2.10$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?No39395¢96.2¢$378+$4.52$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No43089.6¢86.5¢$372−$13$0
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31?No36391.5¢96.9¢$352+$19$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?No35091¢95.1¢$333+$14$0
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?No30892.8¢98.8¢$304+$18$0
Will SB Energy's market cap be at least $125B at market close on IPO day?No29991.3¢99.7¢$298+$25$0
Anthropic acquired before 2027?No24097¢97.2¢$234+$0.36$0
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?No24693.3¢93.5¢$230+$0.49$0
Stripe IPO before 2027?No17497.1¢97¢$169−$0.25$0
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?No16179.2¢100¢$161+$33$0
Deel IPO before 2027?No13396¢99.6¢$132+$4.70$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?No15085¢86.5¢$129+$2.24$0
Rippling IPO before 2027?No13093.8¢96.3¢$125+$3.23$0
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be at least $14B at market close on IPO day?No12295.9¢100¢$122+$4.94$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?No12595¢93¢$116−$2.50$0
Canva IPO before 2027?No11897¢97.1¢$115+$0.06$0
Celonis IPO before 2027?No11595.1¢97.2¢$111+$2.32$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No10694.8¢95¢$101+$0.17$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No10093¢93.5¢$94+$0.50$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No7498.7¢100¢$74+$0.96$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No7092.4¢94.9¢$66+$1.72$0
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?No7575.8¢86.5¢$65+$7.98$0
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes6587.1¢88.9¢$58+$1.17−$1.01
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes2,0075.7¢2.9¢$57−$57$0
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No5096.9¢99.4¢$50+$1.25$0
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?No5096.8¢98.9¢$49+$1.02$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No4991¢95.9¢$47+$2.38$0
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No5080¢89.5¢$45+$4.75$0
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?No4191.5¢97.9¢$40+$2.60$0
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?No3894.3¢99.4¢$38+$1.95$0
Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?No4088¢89.5¢$36+$0.60$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?No3789.7¢94.9¢$35+$1.91$0
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Yes3676.7¢95.5¢$34+$6.75+$213
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No3597.4¢97.6¢$34+$0.07$0
Perplexity IPO before 2027?No3397¢96¢$32−$0.35$0
Clemson vs. CaliforniaCalifornia17956¢0¢$0−$100$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?96.8¢263$25468%47
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?87.3¢57$4968%47
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?85.8¢53$4668%47
BUY NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?82¢1,250$1,02568%47
BUY NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?91¢3,250$2,95868%47
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?97¢200$19468%47
SELL NoWill SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?86.2¢25$2168%47
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?78¢1,424$1,11168%47
SELL AnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?91¢2,000$1,82068%47
SELL NoWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?94¢109$10268%47
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?60¢125$7568%47
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?60.6¢500$30368%47
SELL AnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?92¢252$23268%47
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?48¢1$0.3768%47
SELL YesWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?93¢125$11668%47
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?93¢1,250$1,16368%47
BUY NoStripe IPO before 2027?97.8¢11$1168%47
BUY NoAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?96.9¢300$29168%47
BUY NoAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?96.5¢382$36868%47
SELL AnthropicWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?96.3¢2,202$2,12068%47